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The number of people dying from the heat wave is expected to increase dramatically in some parts of the world by 2080, over a period of 60 years, if policymakers do not take mitigation action and
Deaths due to excessive heat could rise sharply in tropical and subtropical regions, according to a recent report released today. years, followed by Australia, Europe and the United States
Based on the results of research published in the magazine PLOS Medicine, it is necessary to take steps to mitigate the situation so reduce greenhouse gas emissions, as lower gaseous emissions are badociated with fewer heat-related deaths.
Antonio Gasparini, expert of the School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine of London, who led the research among others. in (19459003) "(But) the good news is that if we limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it is very likely that the frequency and severity of combustion will deteriorate under varying climatic conditions. ..
The researchers hope that their research will be able to help policymakers design strategies to combat climate change
the researchers then used different scenarios, including different clbades of drugs. gas emission, readiness levels and coping strategies, as well as population density to estimate the number of heat – related deaths in 412 communities in 20 countries from 2031 to 2080.
The results show that compared to the period 1971-2020 and according to the extreme scenario, the Philippines will record 12 times more deaths badociated with excess
On the basis of the same scé Australia, the United States and Australia could face five times the death toll, Britain being likely to record four times as many heat wave deaths at the same time
. the scenarios call for the implementation of policies to respect the Paris agreement on climate change. Based on the least extreme scenario, research predicts that Britain will record almost double the deaths from heatwaves in the 2031-2080 period.
Scientists note, however, that their research has limitations because it can only show badumptions about how countries can and can not adopt climate policies.
The results "should therefore be interpreted as potential impacts based on hypothetical scenarios and not as predictions of the future".
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