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The number of people dying from the heat wave is expected to increase dramatically in some parts of the world by 2080, over a period of 60 years, if policymakers do not take mitigation action and
Deaths due to excessive heat could record a sharp rise in tropical and subtropical regions, according to the results of a survey published today. followed by Australia, Europe and the United States, as reported by Reuters and relaying the Athens News Agency.
Based on the results of the research published in the journal PLOS Medicine, it is necessary to take measures to alleviate the situation with the aim of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, since the lower gaseous emissions are badociated to fewer heat-related deaths
Antonio Gasparini, an expert from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine who led, inter alia: (19659002) "But the good news is that if the world is to be hit by heat waves, it is very likely that the frequency and severity of combustion would deteriorate under varying climatic conditions.reducing greenhouse gas emissions … then l & # 39; Expected impact will be much reduced. "
Researchers say they hope their research will be able to help decision makers design
The mathematical model followed by researchers used di different scenarios, including different levels of gas emission, readiness levels and coping strategies, as well as population density, to estimate the number of deaths are related to heat waves in 412 communities in 20 countries from 2031 to 2080.
The results show that compared to the period 1971-2020 and the extreme scenario in the Philippines Under the same scenario, Australia and the United States could cope with five times the number of deaths linked to extreme heat from 2031 to 2080. Britain is expected to record four times as many deaths from heat waves
Forecasts improve when scenarios predict implementation policies to meet the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Based on the least extreme scenario, research predicts that Britain will record almost double the deaths from heatwaves in the 2031-2080 period.
Scientists note, however, that their research has limitations because they can only show badumptions about how countries can or can not adopt climate policies
The findings "should therefore be interpreted as potential impacts based on hypothetical scenarios and not as predictions of the future "
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