Bet on Merkel's election in Hessen



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Recently, local elections in Germany have never been limited to thematic issues. This has been demonstrated in the last elections in Bavaria and it is even more for the elections held tomorrow in the Land of Hesse.

The elections in Hessen are an opportunity for Chancellor Merkel to show that her party and the ruling coalition are not in as bad a position as badysts say. However, to achieve this, you have to get good results. And in the particular state, there are the necessary and necessary conditions to achieve these results.

In the Land of Hesse is Frankfurt, the most important financial center of Germany. The CDU has ruled in the state with different partners for nearly 20 years. From 1970 to today, the Conservatives gathered more than 36% of the vote. Falker Boufeuer (CDU) prime minister remains fairly popular in the ranks of 4.4 million voters.

Anxiety about CDU and SPD

However, the predictions of the Christian Democrats do not recall the good old days. The latest polls give the CDU only 26%. The only positive thing about this is that if the results for the party barely exceed 26%, it will be considered as a sort of comeback and unexpected for the fight that is going through a difficult time lately. For Merkel, it is necessary for the CDU to be turned on first. So the party would be ordered to form a government. And at this point, the Chancellor needs this result. Any other solution would be interpreted as an indication of citizens' dissatisfaction with Merkel's policy, which also commits Falker Boffie to Hesse. In addition, pressure would be intensified for the Chancellor to step down as President of the CDU.

At the same time, the Social Democrats are anxiously observing the day of the elections, since they won less than 10% of the vote in the last elections in Bavaria. However, Hesse's chief of note, Torstein Scheffer-Gibel, does not bother to point out that "Bavaria is Bavaria and Hesse is Hesse". And his polls are right. Finally, the SPD appeared in galaxies with rates between 20 and 25%.

The biggest risk for the Social Democrats is the Greens who, after the record breaking record in the elections in Bavaria, expect between 15% and 22%.

Continue with the Greens?

The Greens, meanwhile, are almost certain to get the best result of all time. For the Chancellor, this should not be a problem, as Bouffie could simply continue the coalition with the Greens, as is the case now.

At the same time, polls range between 11% and 14% among right-wing populists of the AfD and 6 to 9% among liberals (FDP).

However, this time, the formation of a government in Hessen will be much more difficult, especially if the Christian Democratic party does not actually belong to it. In this case, Angela Merkel will have more trouble defending her position as party leader but also Chancellor. Thus, local elections in Hessen can have important consequences not only at the national level but also at the international level.

Source: Deutsche Welle

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