[ad_1]
Pedro Sanchez's Socialists emerged yesterday from the winners of early parliamentary elections in Spain, but failed to win a majority of seats in parliament, where political power would be fragmented. You will find below a summary of the situation as well as possible scenarios.
"The Socialist Party won the elections," said Sanchez, addressing his supporters. "The future has been defeated and the past has been defeated".
For the Spanish Prime Minister, the Spanish people sent the following message by voting: "We do not want to fall back on us, we do not want the reaction (…) we want a country turned towards the future who is looking for the future ".
However, the victory of the PSOE is not enough to put an end to the uncertainty surrounding the Spanish political scene.
The Conservative People's Party (PP) came in second with 16.70% of the vote and 66 seats, the Liberal Citizens Party was in third place with 15.86% and 57 seats, while the radical left party, Piedham, collected 14.31% of the votes. and sees the number of seats decrease to 42.
The far-right party Vox enters the national parliament for the first time since its inception, after garnering 10.26 percent of the vote (up from 0.2 percent in 2016) and holding 24 seats. This is the first time in four decades that the far right will occupy seats in the House of Representatives of Madrid and Box President, Santiago Abascal, said that "this is only the beginning ".
The participation rate calculated by the Ministry of the Interior was 75.78%, or about 9.5% more than in 2016, although it is the third election organized in Spain in less than four years.
On the basis of the results, the Socialists and Pidemus, if they are allies, will need an additional 11 seats for the majority.
Spain's political leaders have before them a long list of problems to be solved, of the crisis in Catalonia – where separatist leaders tried to break the province in 2017 – at the end of the current political stalemate, the slowdown in Economy at persistence high unemployment rate.
Sanchez, who took office in June after toppling conservative Mariano Rahoy with a motion of no confidence, will have to form an uncomfortable alliance to remain prime minister.
On the other hand, the box entrance to the House was not fair. The People's Party (PP) has lost more than half of its seats since it will occupy 66 out of 137 seats in 2016. Citizens have gone from 32 to 57 seats. Despite the alliance with Box, the right has not resumed at the national level, the December results in Andalusia pushed the socialists out of their historic stronghold.
"The left knows that the party is over," said the second to Vox, Javier Ortega Smith, while Santiago's chief, Abbasal, announced the principle of "resumption" of Spain and insisted that the line far right "is left behind." The party has mainly campaigned on social networking sites, mimicking the tactics of US President Donald Trump and Brazilian President Zaïc Bolsonarou. He has teamed up with Marin Le Pen (National Security) in France and with Mateo Salvini (Lega) in Italy. Use anti-inflammatory, anti-migraine, highly toxic anti-separatists in Catalonia.
Catalonia, where the worst political crisis in Spain in the last 40 years broke out in 2017, continues to haunt the Spanish political scene.
Sanchez, in addition to Piedemus, will need the support of regional parties and therefore a priori Catalan separatists. He would have preferred to avoid it: they were also separatist separatists who had forced him to call early elections, against the state budget proposal.
There is the working hypothesis of the alliance with the citizens of Rivera, but he campaigned by swearing "to expel Sanchez from power" because he "capitulated" with the Catalan separatists. Together, the PSOE and Ciudadanos easily exceed the magic number of seats required for the majority (180).
But Pedro Sanchez's supporters called "not with Rivera" in rhythm last night.
Seats and scenarios
Socialist Party (123 seats)
By winning 123 seats out of 85 in the previous elections in 2016, the PSOE clearly won, a first since 2008.
However, outgoing Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, who took power by a majority vote in June following a no-confidence motion against conservative predecessor Mariano Rahoy, has still not won a majority of 176 seats.
He is therefore urged to start intensive negotiations to obtain the majority of seats. Although it can count on the radical left, Poddemos, it should also gain the support of various regional parties, such as the PNV (Basque nationalists, 6 seats).
The big question is what will be the role of the Catalan separatists who, like Podemos and PNV, have helped Sanchez to gain power in favor of the motion of censure against Rahoi. These parties gain ground and occupy 22 seats (15th Republican Left of Catalonia [ERC], more modest, 7th Ensemble for Catalonia, former president of the province of Carlos Pugeton).
Their support is needed in Sanchez to reach the limit of 176 seats in parliament, but the prime minister may prefer not to become a member of the government alliance, but rather to form a government with a parliamentary minority based on the rule of law. Catalan abstention.
Citizens -Ciudadanos (57 seats)
The liberal party of Albert Rivera, which is explicitly opposed to separatist tendencies, has never had so many MPs (32 in 2016) after its dynamic entry into parliament, marking the end of bipartisanship known to the world. ;Spain.
Forming a government of socialists and citizens is a possibility, at least mathematically. Both parties had tried it unsuccessfully in 2016, while Sanchez was the prime minister.
Although the head of government refuses to explicitly exclude this working hypothesis – even though his supporters are opposed to this scenario – throughout the election campaign, Rivera demanded that Sanchez be "expelled" by power because He "capitulated with the separatists".
Rivera was not hesitant to team up with the People's Party (PP, right) and Vox (far right) to try to remove their forts from the Socialists. However, many expect that at least a part of Ciudadanos will be in favor of the alliance with the PSOE.
People's Party (66 seats)
Ten months after Rahoy's expulsion, PP had been heavily condemned for a corruption scandal. The Conservative party suffered one of its worst electoral defeats with young Pablo Cbadado (38) at the helm. The working hypothesis based on obtaining a majority of PP – Ciudadanos – Vox was not a reality, although it was considered possible in recent polls.
Cbadado, who turned right, saw much of PP's electoral base escape from the citizens and Box.
The leader of the Popular Party (Pp), Pablo Cbadado, said his party would remain the main opposition to the Spanish parliament after the victory of the Socialist Party (PSOE).
In his post on Twitter after the result of the confrontation of yesterday, during which PP lost more than half of its seats in the House, Kbadado said that his party "will lead in a responsible way. opposition "and" will improve this we have not done well ".
A little earlier, Albert Rivera, the leader of the center-right citizens (Ciudadanos), had claimed the role of the main opposition.
Podemos (42 seats)
Having helped to end bipartisanship in 2015 with the citizens, the radical left party in Spain, in the grip of internal divisions, lost much of its power (67 seats in 2016). But the party that is the political heir of the rebel movement should buy back its support for Pedro Sanchez, for the first time in power.
Vox (24 seats)
The ultranationalist extreme right party made its entry into the Spanish national delegation after winning 10.26% of the vote, compared to 0.2% in 2016. the political landscape.
He won votes thanks to his highly toxic rhetoric against the Catalan separatists, but he was not surprised, as he hoped to turn into a model of political balance in a right-to-right government from right to right. Nevertheless, the second at Blox, Cavier Ortega Smith, said in the center, left and left, that "the party is over."
Source link
