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The number of people dying from the heat wave is expected to increase dramatically in some parts of the globe by 2080, over a 60-year period, if policymakers do not take measures to Weather mitigation
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Deaths due to excessive heat could be recorded According to the results of the study, followed by Australia, Europe and the United States
D & # 39; after the results of research published in PLOS Medicine, measures are required to remedy this situation. reduce greenhouse gas emissions as reducing gas emissions results in fewer heat-related deaths.
Antonio Gasparini, expert of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, notably directed (19659010) "Well, the good news is that if the world is to be hit by the waves of heat, it is very likely that the incidence and severity of combustion would worsen under varying climatic conditions.reducing greenhouse gas emissions … then the expected impact will be a lot weaker. "
Researchers hope their research will help policymakers design climate change strategies
The mathematical model followed by researchers used various scenarios, including different clbades of gas emissions, levels Preparedness and coping strategies, as well as population density to estimate the number of deaths are related to heatwaves in 412 communities in 20 countries from 2031 to 2080.
Results show as compared to 1971 to 2020 and the extreme scenario in the Philippines Under the same scenario, Australia and the United States could face five times more deaths related to excessive heat, and Britain should record four times more deaths from heatwaves.
Forecasts improve when scenarios predict the implementation of policies to comply with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Based on the least extreme scenario, research predicts that Britain will record about twice as many deaths from heat waves in the 2031-2080 period.
Scientists note, however, that their research has some limitations as it may show relatively simply "
Findings" should therefore be interpreted as potential impacts based on hypothetical scenarios and not as predictions of 39; future "
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