Here is the most important number in Trump's reelection bid



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WASHINGTON – Note a common number – or roughly – in the latest national NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll?

  • Percentage of Trump vs. Joe Biden in a hypothetical match: 42%.
  • His percentage against Bernie Sanders: 43%.
  • His percentage against Elizabeth Warren: 43%.
  • His percentage against Kamala Harris: 44%.
  • His job approval rate: 45 percent.

And just to develop this exercise, Trump's employment rating exactly a year ago in the NBC / WSJ survey was – you guessed it – 45%.

Same as his job qualification in the exit poll for mid-term 2018.

It's a reminder of the consistency of Trump's numbers, despite the ever-changing news cycle … how Trump's ballots are similar to his professional rankings … and the dangerousness of his political status facing the general situation of the American economy.

Outgoing presidents, especially those who do not face a real challenge, have the advantage of being able to focus on a general election for four years instead of the four to five months that the opposition gets.

And as we saw in 2016, a person can still win the electoral college by getting only 46% of the popular vote.

But do not lose sight of how unpopular the President of the United States is – and has been.

Ugly tweets

And if you're wondering why the US president remains unpopular – considering the humming economy – look no further than his tweets from the past 24 hours.

Sunday morning he shot a bullet vicious and racist tweetstorm apparently directed against the representatives. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Talib, Ilhan Omar and Ayanna Pressley, who said, "They should go back and help repair the totally devastated and infested places of the crimes that inspired them."

The four women in Congress are US citizens and all but one (Omar being the exception) were born in the United States.

And this morning, Trump doubled his attack.

But you also want to know why nearly 90% of Republicans approve of Trump's work, the only GOP incumbent Congress member who disagreed with Trump's tweet was Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, who again called for the defeat of these congressional women.

"POTUS was wrong to say that every American citizen, whether in Congress or not, has a" home "apart from the United States, but I am equally convinced that non-citizens who abuse Our immigration laws should be sent home immediately, and representatives who refuse to defend themselves America should be sent home on 11/2020.

Will Ross be thrown?

It seems that the Secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, is designated as the head of the defeat / retirement Trump Census last week.

"President Donald Trump told his aides and his allies that he was considering dismissing Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross after a stinging defeat of the Supreme Court, which added a question on citizenship to the census, according to several people aware of the conversations, "Hans Nichols, Kayla Tausche and Hallie Jackson writes.

"Ross is one of the first members of a government that has experienced a historically high turnover rate, but his resignation would mark the first departure of an agency head that Trump knew well before. to get into politics. "

"Trump and Ross met – and bonded – through casino casino bankruptcies in Atlantic City in the 1990s, Ross representing some of Trump's creditors."

Vision 2020: Biden aims for Medicare for all

NBC's Marianna Sotomayor announced that the Biden campaign today announced its plan to strengthen and protect the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare.

And here is Biden in a campaign video: "I understand the call for Medicare for all. But the people who support it must be clear: it means getting rid of Obamacare. And I'm not for that. "

More Biden: "I know how difficult it has been to get this passed. I watched it. To start over does not make sense to me.

And, "I knew that the Republicans would do their utmost to repeal Obamacare. They are always. But I'm surprised so many Democrats are getting rid of it. "

Do not be surprised if we receive a response from Bernie Sanders at his rally with the Philadelphia Unions and Hospital Workers at 2:00 pm Eastern Time.

Sanders also plans a great Medicare for All speech Wednesday.

By the way, our NBC / WSJ poll has tested whether voters were in favor of or against "a single payer health care system in which all Americans would get their health insurance from a government plan partially funded by taxes."

All voters who support it: 44%.

All voters who oppose it: 49%.

In campaign

Joe Biden, Cory Booker, John Hickenlooper and Amy Klobuchar Speak at an AARP / Des Moines Register Forum in Des Moines, Iowa … Julian Castro, Michael Bennet and Kirsten Gillibrand are also members Hawkeye State … And Bernie Sanders is organizing a rally in Philadelphia.

Data Download: The number of the day is … +1

That was Barack Obama's margin against Mitt Romney in the NBC / WSJ poll of August 2011 – achieved as a result of the debt ceiling battle with Congress.

Obama won the support of 46 percent of registered voters in the national poll, while Romney won 45 percent of the fake electoral match.

Compare that with the deficits of President Donald Trump – about the same time – against Joe Biden (-9), Bernie Sanders (-7), Elizabeth Warren (-5) and Kamala Harris (-1) in the latest NBC / WSJ. survey.

By the way, Obama finally beat Romney by 4 points in General 2012, 51% to 47%.

Tweet of the day

The lid: Father, the sleeper is awake!

Do not forget to take a look at the module on Friday, when we examined the popularity of the single payer system / Medicare for All (social assistance for all), with the help of the sci-fi movie " Dune ".

ICYMI: News not to be missed

The Washington Post writes that Mick Mulvaney is building "an empire for the right" as chief of staff.

Despite warnings, it appears that extensive raids on large-scale expulsion measures have not yet materialized.

Peter Baker writes in the New York Times of Trump's decision to "throw a match" on the country's racial tensions this weekend.

Beto O'Rourke says the ancestors of his family were slaves.

And support for impeachment is down, according to our latest NBC / WSJ poll.

Trump Agenda: Match Throw

Peter Baker writes in the New York Times of Trump's decision to "throw a match" on the country's racial tensions this weekend.

A group of young Jews are demonstrating against ICE.

2020: a family affair

POLITICO explains how Trump's reelection effort in 2020 is becoming more of a family affair.

And the New York Times analyzes in detail how Biden became the main voice of his party against the school bus in the 1970s.

Benjy Sarlin notes that the 2020 Democrats are focusing on executive actions that Mitch McConnell could not block in the Senate.

Steve Bullock earns money in politics, the major issue of his campaign.

Cory Booker says he wants to give older prisoners a "second look".

POLITICO examines how the Bernie Sanders campaign envisions its media coverage.

And Sanders says that Nancy Pelosi is "a little" too hard on the progressives.

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