How Jill Biden Revealed the Secret of Joe Biden's 2020 Plan

by



[ad_1]

"We all know that this election is different," said the narrator of the ad at the beginning of the advertisement. "The stakes are bigger, the threat is bigger, we have to beat Donald Trump, and all the polls agree that Joe Biden is the most powerful of the Democrats to do this job."

On this last line, a series of bar charts appear on the screen, illustrating a series of polls where Biden beats Trump in hypothetical confrontations in the 2020 horizon.

The announcement, which began airing Tuesday morning, follows the most blatant call for eligibility ever issued by Biden.

Jill Biden added, "Your candidate may be better than Joe, but I do not know about health care, but you have to figure out who's going to win this election, and maybe you have to swallow a little bit and say : "OK, personally, I like better, but better," but your end result is that we have to beat Trump. "

Which is, well, put it there!

The decision of Biden camp to rely so heavily on the issue of eligibility is a risk – although calculated. Traditionally, primary voters vote with their hearts, not with their heads. That is, they tend to choose the candidate who inspires them, not the candidate that they think they can win. Primary voters do not tend to vote strategically with the general election in mind. They vote for what they want their own party to look like.

There are of course exceptions, notably the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in which Hillary Clinton defeated Bernie Sanders at least in part because the Democrats thought it was a better chance to keep the White House in hands. Democrats.

Clinton 's defeat for President Donald Trump would have seemed to delay the eligibility argument in future races. (The fact that Trump is president is in itself a convincing argument for not prioritizing the so-called possibility of electricity when choosing a candidate.)

And yet … the new CNN-SSRS poll, which shows that Biden retains a double-digit lead over Sanders and Senator Elizabeth Warren (Massachusetts), suggests that at least for the moment, the argument of the ability to work is of real importance to Democratic voters. A majority (54%) said to give priority to the candidacy of a candidate able to beat Trump in November 2020, while only 39% said that the most important in the selection of a candidate is that the candidate agrees with their points of view. (Note: the number of voters has slightly decreased in the CNN poll; by the end of June, 61% of respondents said that a candidate able to beat Trump was the most important element of their vote.)

It's not terribly complicated to understand why the election of Democratic voters counts more for Democratic voters in 2020. That's Donald Trump. That's all. While voters at the Democratic base are rarely thrilled with the actions of a Republican president, Trump's deliberate disregard for a semblance of presidential norms, coupled with the appointment of two Supreme Court justices, his recoil environmental regulations, provocations about race and intimidation made Democrats absolutely desperate to beat him in 2020.

If ever eligibility was to be the decisive factor in choosing a Democratic candidate, this is the present moment.

The only obvious problem for Biden is that if voters eventually believe that even if he is the best person to beat Trump, he is not the only one who can do it. Take the last poll Fox News. Yes, Biden was ahead of Trump by 12 points, between 50% and 38%. But he also showed Biden's main rivals for the nomination – Sanders, Warren and California Sen. Kamala Harris – also all leading Trump with between 6 and 9 points.

If more results like this are known, voters will have to ask themselves if a 12-point lead over Trump is so much bigger than, say, a 7-point lead they must borrow from the words from Jill Biden. – "Swallow a bit and say:" OK, personally, I love it so much, and even better, "but your result must be that we have to beat Trump."

How democratic voters decide that this question remains to be seen. But there is no doubt now that Joe Biden operates on the criteria of eligibility, eligibility, eligibility.

[ad_2]

Source link