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One of the tropical disturbances in the Atlantic shows signs of life on Wednesday as the 2020 hurricane season looks set to shift into high gear in the coming days.
The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said Wednesday morning that it is now tracking three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin that have development potential, including two labeled “high” with a probability of over 60%.
“The disturbance that is most likely to develop in the next few days is the one approaching the Leeward Islands”, NHC said.
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According to the NHC, the first disturbance located about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles will likely turn into a low or tropical storm in the next few days or two.
Forecasters put the formation chance at 90% and said the system continues to produce a “concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms” on its west side.
Forecasters are watching two areas with high development potential in the Atlantic basin.
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The system is expected to continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 15 to 20 mph through the central and western parts of the tropical Atlantic in the coming days.
Another disturbance in the eastern Caribbean is also showing signs of organization on Wednesday as it produces disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
A tropical depression is likely to form here in the coming days as it moves across the Caribbean to Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula.
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The NHC has said there is an 80% chance that this will turn into a tropical depression within the next 5 days when the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Areas across the Caribbean to the Yucatán Peninsula could see impacts later this week or weekend ahead.
A third “vigorous tropical wave” produced a large area of showers and thunderstorms over Guinea and
Sierra Leone as it leaves the African continent. As this system moves over the warm waters of the Atlantic, forecasters said environmental conditions should be right for some development as it enters the eastern Atlantic.
Forecasters put the odds of formation at 20% over the next five days, but say conditions could turn “less favorable” early next week.
The next tropical system to form would be called “Laura”, followed by “Marco”. These two storms could potentially set another record this year if they form next week, according to Colorado State University. Phil Klotzbach, hurricane researcher.
According to Klotzbach, the current record dates for the 12th and 13th named storms in the Atlantic are August 29 and September 2.
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NOAA forecasters are now calling for up to 25 named storms with winds of 39 mph or more; of these, seven to ten could become hurricanes. Of these hurricanes, three to six will be major, classified in categories 3, 4 and 5 with winds of 111 mph or more.
Updated forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.
(Fox News)
That’s well above an average year. Based on data from 1981 to 2010, that’s 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. So far this year there have been 11 named storms, including two hurricanes.
The most active part of the hurricane season is from late August to early October, when most storms and major hurricanes are seen.
(Fox News)
The most active part of the hurricane season is from late August to early October, when most storms and major hurricanes are seen.
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The names of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.
(Fox News)
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 and includes the names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana , Omar, Paulette, René, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred.
Janice Dean of Fox News contributed to this report.
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