Researchers Create Algorithm to Predict Game of Thrones Deaths

Researchers at the Technical University of Munich have exploited the predictive power of algorithms to determine the outcome of one of the greatest mysteries of life ( over the next six weeks or so): who will die in HBO Game of Thrones' Eighth Season .

Using the data found in various Wikis of fans as well as in books and television episodes, the Rostlab team has determined the potential for fatally bad news for your favorite characters – but you knew it was happening anyway.

Of course, the crucial question is who is on this list. Attention, the spoilers of the previous seasons follow.

The team demonstrated its strengths in 2016 by creating algorithmic forecasts for the sixth season of the series. Admittedly, that year, the group had set Daenerys' risk of death at 95% – and we know it's still fed up – but the researchers were right about the unfortunate fate of Petyr Baelish, Tommen and Stannis Baratheon. In addition, the algorithms predicted the return of Jon Snow after repeated perforations.

This year, the team has the best man for the right arm Lannister, Bronn, at 93.5% and Gregor "The Mountain" Clegane at 80 percent. Sansa Stark also tops the list with 73.3%, due to factors such as the birth at Winterfell and the previous marriage. On the other hand, Queen of Dragons Daenerys and Tyrion Lannister proved to be the most likely survivors with respectively 0.9% and 2.5% chance of dying.

Researchers used two different types of data badysis to draw conclusions about a character's probability of death, or PLOD. The first consisted of a Bayesian inference which determined the chances of survival by comparing statistics including the house to which the characters with whom they married, their title and bad belonged, and if they played major or minor role in the series.

a network of neurons, which could be used to search for more complex correlations in the information collected, correlations exceeding a human's ability to locate themselves. The researchers said the neural network could produce some of the most surprising results.

Time will tell only the accuracy of these predictions, the last season of Game of Thrones being broadcast at 9:00 pm Eastern time and 6:00 pm each Sunday for subscribers. of HBO as well as on the streaming platform Bell's Crave . Just in time for the new season, Crave is now on 1080p on iOS, Android and Xbox One. Previously, streaming quality was locked at 720p for most content, Apple's 4th generation Apple TV being the only device that supports 1080p resolution.

Source: Technical University of Munich