Britain faces long Brexit recession as negotiators struggle to reach agreement



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  Theresa May Sean Gallup / Getty Images Theresa May
  • Brexit negotiations resume in Brussels as negotiators struggle to reach an agreement on the border with Northern Ireland.
  • Great Britain could permanently lose 5.5% of its growth
  • Norway rejected calls for Britain's temporary membership in the United States. European Economic Area after Brexit.

LONDON – Great Britain A leading credit agency warned that negotiators were still struggling to agree on a Brexit deal.

Standard & Poor's, one of the world's leading financial services companies, announced Tuesday no agreement Brexit would trigger a long recession in the UK, which would reduce the British economy 1.2% in 2019 and 1.5% in 2020.

"The bulk of the economic loss, in the order of 5.5% (of) GDP over three years compared to our basic case would probably be permanent, "said S & P. ​​

If the UK withdrew without agreement and did not comply with the WTO's trade rules, the Inflation would reach 4.7% and unemployment would rise to 7.4% by 2020 – its highest level since Standard & Poor's declared after the 2008 financial crisis.

Warning was given when the Brexit talks resumed genuinely on Tuesday night, as British and European negotiators attempt to break into the the Irish border and reach an agreement in December.

Olly Robbins, the UK's top official responsible for Brexit negotiations, went to Brussels to meet his EU counterpart, Sabine Weyand, who works for chief negotiator Michel Barnier.

Discussions must continue. On the technical side for the rest of the week, sources close to the UK and European negotiating teams told Business Insider Wednesday morning.

Negotiators attempt to find a mutually acceptable version of the President's support policy. Whatever the outcome of the Brexit negotiations and negotiations of trade agreements between the United Kingdom and the European Union,

"You have only five months left"

  Dominic Raab [19659015] WPA Pool / Getty </span></span><span clbad= Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab

Back in Westminster, MPs are looking for ways to avoid a dreaded non-agreement scenario.

Conservative MP Nick Boles asks Theresa May to rely on the Norwegian model. According to Boles' plan – "Norway for the moment" – the UK would remain in the single market and form a new customs union with the EU until an agreement is reached. free trade covering Ireland's invisible frontier be ready to be implemented.

BI understands. About 15 MPs met with Norway's model activists to discuss politics Tuesday night. Among these deputies were Boles, along with his conservative colleagues, Nicky Morgan, Stephen Hammond and George Freeman.

However, Norwegian Prime Minister Erna Solberg seemed to dash all hope of the UK temporarily replicating Norway's relations with the EU, telling reporters: Welcome any good cooperation with Great Britain.

"But getting into an organization [the European Free Trade Association and European Economic Area] that you leave is a bit difficult for the rest of us," Solberg said Tuesday. (19659022) Erna Solberg Theresa May [19659023] Rune Hellestad / Getty Images Erna Solberg and Theresa May

Solberg spoke to the media alongside British Prime Minister May, who announced that all Norwegian citizens living in the United Kingdom would retain all their rights no matter the outcome of the Brexit negotiations.

The Prime Minister's warm words about EU and EEA citizens living in the UK have been somewhat undermined by remarks by the Minister of Immigration, Caroline Nokes, in front of Home Affairs. Special Committee.

Nokes said that under a Brexit without agreement, employers will have to verify that EU and EEA staff members have the right to work in the UK United, although the Home Office suggested this summer that these controls would not be necessary.

Nokes also revealed that the British government did not know what these controls would mean, while only 650 days of EU citizens living on 3.5 million living in the UK have reached established status. regime that confirms their right to stay in the country after Brexit.

An exasperated president, Yvette Cooper, said she was "disconcerted" by Nokes' comments and cried out "there are only five months left" to the minister and others [19659025] Our Facebook group on the Brexit Insider is the best place to receive news and up-to-date badysis on Britain's departure from the EU, directly from Business Insider's political reporters. Register here.

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