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March 28, 2019
The release of this weekend's reinvention of Disney's action by Dumbo will constitute the third new number one in as much of weeks nationwide. box office. Just behind, the film # 1 of last weekend, Us and the release of the film Captain Marvel by Disney will continue to behave well, contributing to the success of the month of March at the national box office. Meanwhile, Pure Flix will debut Harmony Korine's Unexpected and Neon The Beach Bum both in more than a thousand locations.
Disney's latest live action is to reinvent one of their clbadic animated feature films in the film Tim Burton directed by Dumbo which takes over the title 64- meticulous animated film of 1941 and delivers a story of almost two hours. Disney will debut in more than 4,200 theaters and the prognosis for its weekend opening performance is not at all clear. The studio predicts debut of more than $ 50 million, while other sources suggest starts approaching $ 60-65 million. The critical response was mixed up by 54 points at Metacritic and 55% of rotten at RottenTomatoes. On top of that, the IMDb page display performance leading to the publication gives a very confusing picture.
With regard to the two weeks preceding publication, the page visualization performance of IMDb for Dumbo is just before Christopher Robin (24.6 million USD opening), just behind Alice on the other side of the mirror, (opening $ 26.9 million) and largely ahead the Pete's dragon ($ 21.5 million opening). Of course, the reasons can be many, including the fact that Dumbo is a more recognizable title and that it is not necessarily something that the public must look for before it goes out. He might also be more apt at comparing it to an animated feature film such as The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water which debuted with a budget of $ 55.4 million in February 2015. As for this comparison, Dumbo also advances in this title, even though it will open in about 600 other locations and will offer the children benefit from spending the spring break.
For those seeking proof of an openness performance meeting the highest expectations, and weighing a little more weight than the pages viewed by IMDb, considering that it deals with tickets actually sold, comes from the online retailer Fandango.com, which tells BoxOfficeMojo that Dumbo surpbades The Grinch ($ 67.5 million opening), SpongeBob and 2015 Cinderella [6799008 €] at the same point in the sales cycle. In total, even if we would not be surprised to see a performance oscillate between $ 43 and $ 65 million, we publish forecasts of $ 52 million and we will see how things unfold.
On the international level, Dumbo debuts day by day in all major territories.
In second place, look for a strong performance for Jordan Peele Us who continued to dominate throughout the week and could bring in more than $ 40 million his second weekend. end after a dazzling debut last week. We expect a fair performance on this figure, indicating a drop of -44% and gross GDP exceeding $ 135 million by the end of the weekend.
Disney's Captain Marvel will win the bronze medal of the weekend, likely falling by -40% for a US dollar of more than 20 million and a domestic smoke quickly approaching $ 355 million. Globally, the film has grossed more than $ 938 million worldwide and is expected to reach $ 1 billion after this weekend.
Fourth, Lionsgate will release CBS Films' film Five Feet Apart which had a strong hold over the past weekend and is expected to be even stronger this week. At the present time, we expect a drop of about -26% for three days around $ 6.5 million and a loss of about $ 36 million for the internal market Sunday night.
The Paramount Wonder Park will probably be around for $ 4.7 million for domestic consumption approaching $ 38 million at the end of the weekend .
Outside the top five, for the moment, we have two new outings, one or both of which could outperform and compete for a spot in the top 5.
We're going start with the release of Neon ] The stoner comedy of Harmony Korine The Beach Bum starring Matthew McConaughey Snoop Dogg Isla Fisher and Martin Lawrence to name a few. The studio will begin the film in 1,015 places and even if the critics are relatively weak (51% on RottenTomatoes), it seems sufficiently resistant to criticism in the measure that we expect a performance between and between 2.5 and $ 3.5 million . .
The next release is Pure Flix's first R-rated feature film, the anti-abortion drama Unplanned whose studio will debut in 1,059 locations. The industry is expecting about $ 3 to $ 4 million and we will stick to the bottom of the range, although GVN's publication of Gosnell in October resulted in a $ 1.16 million start. in only 673 cinemas and it is possible that the marketing reach of Pure Flix exceeds that of GVN to the point of arousing more interest.
In addition, Bleecker Street will extend the reach of Mumbai Hotel to 924 sites (+920) this weekend. Right now, we expect a performance of $ 1 million to $ 2 million, which should be enough to put the film in the top 10 or the limit.
In limited edition this weekend, IFC will open Diane in three locations, while Atlas will debut Trinity Seven: Crimson Library and Sanctuary Lord and Greenwich publishes the documentary Screwball . .
Forecasts for this weekend are directly below. This article will be updated Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's Friday's estimates and a full summary on Sunday morning's weekend.
- Dumbo (4,259 theaters) – $ 52.0 million
- Us (3,743 theaters) – $ 40.0 million
- Captain Marvel (3,985 theaters) – $ 20.4 million
- Five feet away (2,845 theaters) – $ 6.3 million
- Wonder Park (3,304 theaters)) – $ 4.7 million [19659024HowtoTrainYourDragon:TheHiddenWorld (2,783 theaters) – $ 4.3M
- The Beach Bum (1,015 theaters) – $ 3.2M
- Unplanned ] (Planned 1,059 theaters) – $ 3.0M
- The funeral of the Madea family of Tyler Perry (1,923 theaters) – $ 2.7M
- Hotel Mumbai (924 theaters ) – $ 1.2 M
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