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The survey revealed that 43% – more than four out of ten respondents – wanted Modi to return to the post of Prime Minister. That's seven percentage points more than in the 2014 elections, when just over a third had wanted it to run the country. Conducted by the Lokniti research program of the Center for the Study of Developing Societies, based in New Delhi from March 24 to 31, the survey covered 10,010 people in 19 of the country's 29 states.
Voting in India is scheduled to take place in seven phases from April 11 to May 19 and the result will be announced on May 23. Nevertheless, an increase in popularity does not necessarily translate into seats for his party.
According to the poll, "Three decisions of the Modi government taken between January 7 and February 26 could perhaps simply change the course of an election that could very well have been a tight race."
During the first quarter of 2019, the BJP-led government decided to allocate 10% quotas to the economically weaker tranche, pledged to transfer money on farmer bank accounts and conducted air strikes in Pakistan following the terrorist attack on Pulwama.
Electoral Preferences
Most interviewees did not openly declare that these would be the most important voting problems, but rather chose unemployment and development as key factors, the survey revealed.
"However, looking at other data from the survey, we have reason to believe that the three events that have occurred consecutively seem to have had an impact on the preferences and opinions of the respondents. voters, most likely on an unconscious level, "said Lokniti. survey found.
Contrary to what airstrikes, reservations and cash transfers seem to have on the popularity of the BJP and Modi, the impact of the controversy on the Rafale agreement and the insurance of the Congress on a Minimum Income Guarantee for the Poor was found to be positive. not as strong, according to the survey.
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