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With the elections taking place in Pakistan, badysts believe that the real competition in the July 25 elections could be between the PML-N of former imprisoned prime minister Nawaz Sharif and Pakistan Tehreek-i- Insaf of Imran Khan
. According to data published by the Electoral Commission of Pakistan, 3,459 candidates are candidates for 272 general seats in the National Assembly, while 8,396 candidates are contesting 577 general seats of the four provincial bademblies.
Apart from PML-N and Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI), Pakistan People Party (PPP) of badbadinated leader Benazir Bhutto, Mutahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA), a group of religious parties of right, and many other parties have also submitted their candidates for Analysts believe that former cricketer Khan, who had claimed that the 2013 elections had been rigged, could have better odds if his party behaved well in Punjab, which elects more than half of the deputies to parliament [1965]. 9002] Punjab is a bastion of Sharif's PML-N. The party, despite Sharif 's conviction in a corruption case on July 6, is very powerful especially in central and northern Punjab, from where at least 95 seats in the National Assembly are at stake.
No matter who wins the lion's share usually controls the National Assembly and seizes the Prime Minister's coveted position
The ITP is stronger in South Punjab who elects about 45 legislators for the federal parliament
In an article published in Dawn, Zahid Hussain, a political author and journalist based in Islamabad, made a detailed badysis of the expected performance of major parties in the upcoming elections.
He said that PTI could hold its land in the northwestern province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), which ruled from 2013 to 2018, and could even expand its balance sheet. However, he faces a challenge from the MMA and the Awami National Party of followers of Khan Abdul Ghaffar Khan.
Other political parties like the PML-N and the PPP are also on the ground but an electoral battle at most four constituencies. The PML-N will probably retain seats in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa area, in the Hazara, traditionally an extension of Punjab politics
"The real battleground is the Punjab that could make or break the dream of". Imran Khan. "According to Hussain
In Punjab, despite large-scale defeats of the ranks of the PML-N, this is not going to be easy." But there is no indication of the ground loss of the PML-N in its bastion despite some large-scale defections and the alleged interference. "Angels" persuading candidates to change sides, "said Hussain, apparently referring to the powerful army that has a huge impact on the country's politics.
There may be no wave of sympathy for the PML-N. According to him, the imprisonment of Sharif and his daughter Maryam did not reveal any major cracks in the party's popular support base, he said.
PTI seems to have made some forays into the PML-N base. It is difficult for him to dismantle the fortress and some independents will have to be elected, but there will not be many in the center of Punjab. It may still remain in contention even if it manages to get 25 out of 95 of the central and northern regions because of its potential advantage in KP and South Punjab.
In Sindh, PTI achieved an electoral adjustment with the Great Democratic Alliance (GDA) an agglomeration of disparate anti-PPP groups. The ITP hopes to have an electoral presence in the province where the PPP seems unbadailable.
The disintegration of the Karachi-based Mutahida Qaumi (MQM) movement, which has dominated the politics of urban Sindh for almost three decades, has provided a for the PTI, it is possible to seize a few more seats
With regard to the southwestern province of Balochistan, the electoral game is entirely different because the tribal leaders known as elected exert their influence regardless of the party to which they belong.
The emergence of the Baluchistan Awami party backed by the establishment at the scene after the senatorial elections brought a new element to provincial electoral politics. The ITP appears to have already established some understanding with the group during the election of the Senate Speaker early in the year.
This year's elections are described as one of the most controversial in Pakistan's recent history. Sharif's conviction suited the rival PTI, who used it to bolster odds in the polls by blaming him for corruption.
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