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The great thrill of today's Liberal Party is not simply because it lost a seat it had owned for 117 years.
It was also because he became aware that he is now caught with a prime minister in the next general election, which contributed to this loss
The humiliation of the liberals at Wentworth was caused to the the departure of Malcolm Turnbull and the arrival of Scott Morrison. As a result, Mr. Morrison faces the uncertainty of a suspended parliament and the endless burden of a still divided coalition.
Wentworth's disease, to varying degrees, will certainly spread to the Liberals of other electorates. [19659002] It is not entirely his fault.
A handful of selfish egos within the Liberal Party thought the government was going to ruin itself in the next election. So they evicted Malcolm Turnbull and confirmed their predictions of ruin.
Prime Minister Morrison made a rough comparison between the brave survivors of the Invictus Games and the battered Liberals of Wentworth.
"Tonight, I had the great privilege of joining those – and I do not want to make any political point about it – at the Invictus Games. But Invictus is all about the indomitable spirit. That's what it's about. And we pay tribute to all those who were present tonight and will be competing next week, "he said.
" But you know, we have an indomitable spirit in this party. "
[19659002] The difference is of course that the soldiers and the women were wounded by the enemy, the liberals themselves were wounded."
About: Kerryn Phelps defeats Dave Sharma for the seat of Malcolm Turnbull
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Still, Scott Morrison must badume a heavy responsibility for bombing at Wentworth, which is supported by a survey conducted by ReachTEL of 847 Wentworth voters late in August
.They were asked how they would vote in the then hypothetical case of Mr. Turnbull, resigning and provoking a by-election: just over 43% declared Liberals and 25% Labor, the rest being divided into Greens, One Nation and "others."
The question, incidental to a political inquiry commissioned by the CFMEU, was put on 23 August. The next day, Mr. Turnbull walked away and Mr. Morrison won the election at the head of the Council of Interior Ministers, Peter Dutton.
The following eight weeks radically changed the voting plan.
An accumulation of liberal instability and the political controversy generated since. On August 24 – as well as the emergence of a very prominent independent in Kerryn Phelps – was badured that the by-election was going to see the party collapse in what was a political center.
And the magnitude of the Wentworth movement yesterday still indicates Turnbull has been involved in more than one desire. According to the August 23 poll, the Liberals won 57% of the two parties' favorite voices. Last night, the Liberal share in the 2PP was about 48%. It was 67.75% in the 2016 elections.
Another bad news for the government, the election of Kerryn Phelps was a victory for the strategy of the Labor Party's third candidate. The ALP was never going to win Wentworth, but she could make sure that a strong independent would do it. Expect Labor to once again support the independents in safe seats of the coalition in the next federal election, which should be announced by next May.
The goal will not impose a big bench to a potential Labor government, but to mitigate the disenchantment of the major parties must reduce the size of the coalition.
And this general election will not be held early, despite Labor's insistence on the outcome of Wentworth, it is now necessary to impose political stability.
million. Morrison will not want too much and should be able to function without the previous majority of a government seat. Wentworth has made sure he does not want the possibility of a new vote count that is heartbreaking.
And it is extremely unlikely that the new Chum MP, Dr. Phelps, wants to run for another election so soon. It is difficult to see it support a motion of censure unless something far superior to political convenience is involved.
– Mal Farr is the national political editor of news.com.au. Continue the conversation on Twitter @ farrm51
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