Jair Bolsonaro, an impetuous right-wing MEP who s & rsquo; Is left nostalgic of Brazil's old military dictatorship, won the presidency of the largest nation in Latin America on Sunday, while voters were watching past warnings that it was going to erode democracy and would seize a chance for radical change after years of turmoil. The former captain of the army, who has imposed himself as a political underdog despite a 27-year career in Congress, has become the last world leader to rise to power by mixing hard and often violent debates. with right positions.
The main questions that could change in an administration of Bolsonaro:
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Environment: dedicated to leave the agreement on the climate of Paris
Bolsonaro has promised to follow the footsteps of US President Donald Trump and the abandonment of the Paris climate agreement, although it has recently rallied to this position. More than half of the Amazonian Amazon rainforest is in Brazil, and environmentalists are concerned that the Bolsonaro presidency will make it open to increased deforestation and mining. He also called for an end to the recognition of indigenous lands in order to protect them from various forms of exploitation, saying that "no inch will be demarcated for native reserves". He added that the country would stay in agreement as long as it would not have to give up the jurisdiction of the Brazilian Amazon. The agreement makes no mention of this possibility.
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Security: Greater leeway in the use of force
The heart of the Bolsonaro campaign was its promise to curb the rise of crime in Brazil, including giving police more leeway in the use of force. He promised to strengthen the legal protection of police officers who kill at work, even going so far as to say that a policeman who kills a "tramp" should be "celebrated and not prosecuted". Human rights defenders fear that in a country where police violence is already raging, police could kill more innocent people with impunity. Bolsonaro argued that the current law is too restrictive and that the police should have more flexibility to defend themselves. Bolsonaro, famous for having posed with his fingers in the form of a gun, also wants to help citizens own guns. Throughout his campaign, he said that "good citizens" should be able to defend themselves and their property.
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Economy: promised to follow Councilor Paulo Guedes
Brazil is recovering from its worst recession in decades, and investors and business people hope Bolsonaro will boost its growth. He stated that he did not understand much about economic issues and had promised to follow the example of Councilor Paulo Guedes, a banker and economist trained at the University of Chicago. Under Bolsonaro, the largest economy in Latin America could see a reduction in the size of the government, including a halving of the number of ministries, the privatization of many state-owned enterprises and the opening of a closed economy through new trade agreements and a reduction in import tariffs. These proposals have delighted the markets about Brazil's future, but many remain vague and it is unclear what influence Guedes will have.
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Changes: plans for the installation of a new system [19659004] Bolsonaro's main pension proposal is to create a system of private accounts in which people save for their own retirement. We do not know how and how quickly he would switch to this new system. After President Michel Temer failed to revise his pension reform, all eyes are on Bolsonaro to see how he will try to save the country's failing pension system and rebuild his finances. According to international standards, the Brazilian system allows workers to retire too early and obtain overly generous pensions, which contributes significantly to the government's unsustainable budget deficit. But any measure to reduce benefits will be unpopular, so Bolsonaro will have to form a broad coalition in Congress to bring its proposal to fruition. And it will probably only have a brief window when it comes into operation for the first time.
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Foreign Policy: Promised to Imitate Trump [19659004] In Foreign Policy, Bolsonaro also committed to imitating Trump. He said he would promote bilateral trade agreements over multilateral agreements, transfer the Brazilian embbady to Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and adopt a tougher line with neighboring Venezuela. He has often said that Brazil could experience an economic collapse similar to that of Venezuela if voters elect their leftist rival. He also suggested putting Venezuelans fleeing the chaos of their country into refugee camps. Bolsonaro fought against China, Brazil's largest trading partner. He told a radio station that Brazil could not "allow China or any other country to come and buy Brazil instead of buying in Brazil."
