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Well, we all know why you are here, so I will keep this preamble brief. I do not pretend to be omniscient about everything about Oscar, but I ran a pool of Oscar winners in my day and I pay attention, and I think I have a pretty good idea of who will win the award on Sunday. night. So tie in and you may also be able to beat your coworkers for the Buffalo Wild Wings gift card and this lavender-scented candle to which I've already told you that I'm allergic, Cheryl!
Oh, and because I can. Do not refuse to comment, I'll tell you which movie deserves the prize. Your mileage may vary, but I know who I'm rooted for.
Best Movie
Vanquers: Green Book
Should Achieve: The Black Panther
BlacKKKansman
The Black Panther [19659000]
]
A star is born
Vice
I really hope that I am wrong about this one. In reality, the winner is probably Green Book or Roma although that would not surprise me too much if BlacKkKlansman was in a hurry to give a too long victory to Spike Lee, but I have the lingering impression that the old guard of the Academy has solidified around the green book while the newest and youngest members are a little more divided on their first choice . The real surprise would be to see Black Panther win the victory and, with the preferential ballot, it is at least possible that the superhero movie comes first, as agreed "I would be happy to lose a bet for that to actually happen.
The best lead actor
will be the winner: Rami Malek, The Bohemian Rhapsody
should prevail: Christian Bale, Vice
of Bradley Cooper, [19459010)] A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At the Gate of Eternity
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Very Well, it 's probably the most frustrating category of the year because none of these guys really feels deserved to win, at least in my book. Malek seems to be the favorite for the Academy to recognize Bohemian Rhapsody without recognizing the big elephant-shaped Bryan Singer in the play, but Cooper also seems to have a chance to fight here too. The performance that I have most appreciated is that of Bale, but not so much that I will be disappointed not to be called on stage.
The Best Actress in a Leading Role
Winning: Glenn Close, The Wife
Should Win: Olivia Colman, The Favorite [19659005] Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Lady Gaga, A star is born
Melissa McCarthy, Can you forgive me forever?
I am much happier with the nominees who are here. So it's a bit disappointing to realize that the price will likely go to Glenn Close, not as a testament to the quality of the performance – which was pretty good, do not get me wrong – but because She is late for a victory. If it was a meritocracy, I would prefer Colman or McCarthy, and although Aparicio or Lady Gaga could create a surprise, as popular as it sounds, I think as close as it is in the bag.
[1965915]
The Best Supporting Actor
Will Defeat: Mahershala Ali, The Green Book
Should Winner: Richard E. Grant, Can you ever forgive me ? 19659005] Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A star is born
Sam Rockwell, Vice
A true speech, it is super weird this driver and rockwell is even here and i have a hard time seeing one or the other win the victory. Elliott is a black horse that would not bother me to win here, but Grant is such a magnetic presence in Can you ever forgive me? It would be a real shame if he did not win. However, my instinct tells me that Ali will take it for the same reasons that I see Green Book take Best Picture, as tedious as it may be.
The Best Actress in a Supporting Role
To Win and Win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Speak
Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Emma Stone, The favorite
Rachel Weisz, The favorite
Adams is a competitor, but I do not think that this is the case. the role that the Academy finally wants to recognize for Adams. It's amazing that Tavira was nominated, but I do not see the same thrust behind her as I do behind Aparicio. Stone and Weisz are going to steal their voices by being in the same movie. That's why I think Regina King will take it for her well-deserved turn in If Beale could talk a movie that deserved far more nominations and would probably take that win as a consolation prize. [19659002] 
Best director
Winner: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Should win: Yorgos Lanthimos, The favorite
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Alfonso Cuarón , Roma
Adam McKay, Vice
McKay and Pawlikowki probably have no chance here, and although I personally love Lanthimos & # 39; ; Best movie, I think it boils down to two very solid choices in Cuarón and Lee. Particularly if the Academy leans more heavily towards Green Book than Roma in Best Picture, I can see them divide the baby and give the best director to Cuarón, but it's not the same. is also the main category finally recognize Spike Lee without necessarily giving him the best movie, and I think it's the safest bet here.
Best Original Screenplay
is going to win and should win: The Favorite
Roma
First Reform
Vice
Green Book
I think it is here that the Academy will spare a space to recognize The Favorite Although he is nominated in many categories, he is not really a favorite among others, which is particularly sad considering that he is much better than many of his competitors . But if I'm wrong here, you can check my comments on Best Picture and the director to see how that will happen, with Roma or Green Book winning this prize either in conjunction with, or in consolation for the best film win. [19659002] 
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Should He Win: Can you always forgive me?
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
A Star is Born
If Beale Street Could Speak
Realistically, I think it goes back to BlacKKKlansman or [1965900]] Can you ever forgive me? with Beale Street acting as a black horse if they split the vote, but see above why BlacKkKlansman probably has one foot here. If one of these three wins, I'll be more than happy.
The Best Cinematography
To Win and Win: Rome
The Cold War
The Favorite
Look Never Further
A Star Is Born
With a lot of love for foreign films this year, the the only real shot I see of any film taking this from Roma is with the Cold War but despite all the love that the Academy has given to the Cold War – some may say a shocking amount – their love for Roma is clearly stronger.
Best Editing
Gagnera: BlacKkKlansman
Should Win: The Favorite
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book
Vice
I am convinced that the best editing is one that you do not even notice because it seems so natural. . BlacKkKlansman will probably win for being brilliant, but The Favorite shows a comic timing that, I personally hope, will prevail. If Bohemian Rhapsody wins, your God, no matter what, is dead.
Best Animated Feature Film
Wanted And Needed To Win: Spider-Man: In The Spider Worm
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph breaks the Internet
The following contrarieties are either Incredibles 2 or ]. Dogs but Spider-Man: Towards the Spider-Verse received a mountain of critics right in the middle of the price season and nothing else resembles him so much. This one seems to be a safe and deserved thing.
Best Documentary
Willingness and Success: RBG
Free Solo
Bridging the Gap
Hale County this Morning, Tonight
From Fathers and Sons
Free Solo and [19659010] Minding The Gap are very good pretenders and fantastic films, but for my money, I think the Academy accepts the political option and rewards RBG . It allows them to say that they rewarded directors Betsy West and Julie Cohen, and I really found that the film was one of the most powerful documentary experiences I've ever had. year-round, that's why I think the wind blows, especially given the absence of Do you want to be my neighbor?
The best feature film in foreign language
will be the winner: Rome
should win: Thieves on display
Capernaum
The Cold War
Look Never Further
Listen, I really like both Roma and The War cold and the safe bet that Roma wins this victory with the Cold War and potentially plays the role of annoyed if Roma wins the title of best film. But I loved The thieves on display more than one of the potential winners, so why do not you let me dream a little, agree?
Best Animated Short Film
Willingness and Success: Bao
Animal Behavior
Late Afternoon
A Small Step
The Weekends
The best short documentary
will win: Black Sheep
should win: End of the sentence.
Final Game
Lifeboat
A Night in the Garden
Best Direct Short Film
Is and Should Win: Marguerite
Detention
Fawn
Mother
Skin
The best original song
will win: "Shallow", a star is born
should win the victory: "All stars", The place where lost things go ", The return of Mary Poppins
" I will fight ", RBG
" When a cowboy drag his spurs ", The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
I have finished my statements on the laureates for most of these categories, as the underlying categories move away from the wheelhouse of the clbad. Academy, in the general vote, more arbitrary may be their selections. I continue to do my best to guess the winners below, but honestly, it's the game of any size in most cases. However, this category, Best Original Song, is the biggest lock of all this damn show. Not even a contest. "Shallow" will win and you are crazy to think that it will be something else.
The best original score
will be the winner: BlacKkKlansman
Should win: If Beale Street could speak
Black Panther
Isle of the Dogs
The Return of Mary Poppins
The best edition of its
To win and win: Rome
Black Panther
A Quiet Place
First Man
Rhapsody of Bohemia
The best mix of sound
Is and must win: Rome
Black Panther
Rhapsody of Bohemia
First Man
A Star is Born
The Best Costume Design
Overcomes: The Favorite
Should Win: The Black Panther
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
The Return of Mary Poppins
Mary Queen of Scots
Best Makeup And Hairstyles
To Win and Win: Vice
Frontier
Mary Queen of Scots
The best scenery
will be the winner: The first man
should win: The Black Panther
The Favorite
The Return of Mary Poppins
to Rome
The Best Visual Effects
Is and Should Win: The First Man
The Avengers: The War of the Infinite
Christopher Robin
The Number One Player:
Solo: A Narrative of Star Wars
So You Think That I am far from the account, either in my predictions or my own preferences? In the comments section, let's see who will win the grand prize this year, Cheryl!
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