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Heavy rain in the forecast; Severe possible storms
The forecast for Tuesday has a chance for some wild weather with strong thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, destructive winds and possible floods.
The thought behind this forecast is a slow cold front that will collide With hot, humid air, there may be severe thunderstorms.
As the front approaches, there will be more and more showers and thunderstorms this morning in the afternoon.
hours, "says the National Weather Service. "Heavy local rains are possible with these storms and could cause poor quality urban flooding, as well as sudden floods in New York, the lower Hudson Valley and southern Connecticut, where the heaviest rains are expected to fall
Rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible in these areas, and some severe to potentially severe storms may occur throughout the state. of the three states, the destructive winds being the main threat.Conditions will continue to be hot and humid, with high values between the middle and the early 80s. "Combined with moisture, it will look like the average of the 90s in the metropolitan area of New York City. "
This sounds like a disturbing forecast, but will that happen?
NWS puts the probability of rainfall at 80%
For severe storms, the NWS places Connecticut in the "marginal category with strong isolated storms".
The highest odds of violent storms in Connecticut are in the Danbury / New Milford area. then northeastern Connecticut.
The rain is more certain in the forecasts of Tuesday
According to its hourly forecasts, the best chance of rain is between 14 and 22 hours. Thunderstorms are probably between 2 and 5 o'clock in the morning. in central and northwestern Connecticut and from 5 pm to 7 pm in southwestern Connecticut. Thunderstorms will enter the western part of Connecticut and move to the east.
Flash flood flood
In effect from noon to this evening.
"Any thunderstorm will have the potential to bring torrential downpours with rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour.These types of precipitation will result in poor and urban flooding, with the possibility of flooding. in areas affected by successive storms, and a rapid rise in water level may occur on small rivers and streams in the basins affected by this activity
How much rain
According to his hourly forecasts: Danbury, 1.60 inches, Stamford, 1.51 inches, Norwalk, 1.45 inches, Bridgeport, 1.43 inches, 1.42 inches in New Haven and 1.40 inches at Torrington.
Of course, these numbers are only estimates.Torrential rains would mean higher rainfall.
Any rain, however, is welcome because parts of the river are rainy. state have abnormal conditions t dry "according to the US Drought Monitor.
According to the Northeast Regional Climate Center, Tweed-New Haven Airport in East Haven was 20.90 inches, 4.24 inches below normal.
Danbury is 2.53 inches below its average precipitation of 25.87 inches for this time of year
On the plus side, Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford 25 , 57 inches so far this year; 2.35 inches above the normal.
Forecasts
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2 pm. Some storms could produce gusts of wind and heavy rain. High close to 85. Wind southwest 7 to 9 mph. The chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall is possible between three quarters and one inch
Tuesday evening: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11 pm. Some storms could produce heavy rains. Minimum: about 62. Quiet wind. The chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation is possible between a half and three-quarters of an inch
Wednesday: Sunny, with a maximum near 83. Wind north 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night: Clear, mostly with minimums around 57. North wind 5 to 7 mph.
Thursday: Sunny with a high of almost 82.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a minimum around 59.
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