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Ireland could see a significant increase in the number of illegal immigrants and asylum seekers arriving here after Brexit, according to a government report
Tánaiste Simon Coveney will outline plans for Emergency being developed in case of hard Brexit. ] The National Risk Assessment Report 2018 finds that Ireland may increase the illegal movements of asylum seekers.
"Brexit may lead to an increased risk of illegal movement of third-country nationals from the United Kingdom, as well as possible consequences for secondary movements of asylum seekers and illegal migrants from the United Kingdom to the United Kingdom. Ireland in case of divergence between the United Kingdom and EU law in the field of asylum, "says the report.
The government is scheduled to meet tomorrow in Kerry, where Tánaiste Simon Coveney will outline the emergency plans being drawn up in case of hard Brexit.
The National Risk Assessment Report also identifies Brexit-related threats to growth, warning that even a mild Brexit will have a "moderating effect" on our economy
The report points to studies that have shown that, according to the arrangements that are drawn up, Brexit will make Irish GDP in 2030 between 2.8% and 7% below what would be projected if Britain remained in the EU.
Five sectors account for 90% of the negative impact – the agri-food, pharmaceuticals and chemicals, electrical machinery, wholesale and retail trade, as well as air transport.
Although many economic impacts of Brexit will only emerge after the UK exit, Brexit's contribution to the devaluation of the pound sterling and increased volatility are already creating challenges for exporters ", says the report." And while Irish importers may have benefited from currency fluctuations so far, their future exposure is significant.
This year's report also includes two new risks: an overheating of the economy and the impact of social media on public debate. The risks are related to the lack of supervision of social media users and emerging concerns regarding the access and use of personal data by third parties.
Dissemination of misinformation, or "false news," is also discussed. It indicates that there is a growing potential for "feeling of isolation and exclusion" for those who do not have the resources or skills to access social media and services offered online.
A section on the economy reflects the risk of growth continuing its current trajectory and the economy potentially approaching its capacity limits, with factors such as the under-supply of housing and the risks to our competitiveness, as well as the tightening of the labor market and infrastructural constraints.
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