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Iran's threat to block the Strait of Hormuz, if its oil exports are hindered, is only a ploy to appease its people "angry and hungry" said the experts.
However, they added that Tehran should act according to its rhetoric. Last Tuesday, Iranian President Hbadan Rohani warned that Tehran would stifle oil shipments from neighboring countries if the US pursued their plan to force all nations to stop buying Iranian oil. General Qbadem Soleimani, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), said Thursday that the strait would be "for all or for anyone," according to the Tasnim news agency.
saying that he was dedicated to the protection of commercial vessels in the region.
The experts underscored the willingness of the GCC countries to counter the situation with the help of the navy and its allies, while citing the Iranian military decision.
Pressure
"The IRGC first threatens the blockade of the Straits of Hormuz as a tactic of pressure against Western states, which ultimately affects international customers of the world market. Energy, badyst of the Strategic Studies Program of Bahrain for Strategic, International and Energy Studies (Derasat), Mahmood Abdul Ghaffar, told the GDN
: "He is trying to support and To increase crises in order to undermine the Gulf Arab States and its international allies. "A real blockage of the strait would be catastrophic for the Arab Gulf states and neighboring states, such as Iraq and Iran itself." A disruption would undoubtedly impede oil transportation in a timely manner, resulting in a significant loss of revenue for oil-producing countries and importers would face supply shortages and higher costs, "said Mr. Ghaffar. , noting that the longer the disruption lasted, the greater the losses were.
The Hormuz Strait connects oil producers in the Middle East to major markets in Asia-Pacific, Europe, from North America and beyond
The Arabian Gulf accounts for 30% of the world's energy supply, or about 17% .Ghaffar has also focused on the other GCC countries' export pathways to mitigate risk, despite pipeline capacity limitations.
Of these, the Fujairah pipeline extends to the Indian Ocean and the United States. Saudi-Iraqi gas pipeline that goes from the border will go from Kienne across the kingdom to the port of Muj ajiz located in the Red Sea.
The Kuwait-based Gulf Monitor Group's Executive Director, Dr. Zafer Al Ajmi, rejected Iran. threat, pointing out that she did not block the strait, even during the eight-year Iran-Iraq war.
"Moreover, this is not a priority for Tehran's military decision makers as responsible groups." It takes time to train the group and, in addition to blocking the water course in flowing, a ship will not last, because the US Navy and its allies will eliminate the blockage in question.
"This is nothing but propaganda – show the Iranian people he has room for maneuver and that he may threaten the West. "
However, Dr. Al Ajmi warned that the insurance companies
Anger [19459006
Foreign Minister Shaikh Khalid bin Ahmed Al Khalifa said Friday that the Iranian regime "was firing day after day"
Referring to the threat, Shaikh Khalid tweeted that the regime was ignoring his people who " is hungry and angry and its national currency collapses. "
Reject the threat as" hot air and swagger nade, "Bahrain-based security badyst Omar Mahmood said," If Iran actually did it, it would amount to an act of war and given the disastrous domestic situation in which Tehran is today. It is not something that it can afford. "
The blockade of the Strait would increase world oil prices which would affect Europe and the countries with which it is located. Iran would trade, like China, and spoil any goodwill that Iran has managed to win. "Finally, such a move gives the Trump administration more ammunition."
Thursday, US Central Command spokesman Bill Urban said that with his partners, the US Navy was ready to provide and promote security and stability in the region and we are ready to ensure freedom of navigation and the free flow of trade wherever permitted by international law ", he said.
Bahrain is home to the US Fifth Fleet, which commands the combined Maritime Force that covers 20 countries and includes three critical strangulation points: the Strait of Ormuz, the Suez Cbad and the Bab Al Mandeb Strait at Southern end of Yemen.
Dr. Theodre Karasik, senior adviser in Washington, said that it was necessary The agencies involved are preparing to fight "a new geopolitical reality."
"S & # 39, there was a closure, the agencies imp liquefied in crisis management include, of course, those of infrastructure protection, defense agencies, etc. to be the ability to clear the strait and then maintain the free flow of goods in transit in a new geopolitical reality. "
China, which together with India, accounts for 85% of oil purchased in the Arab Gulf region, condemned Friday The declaration of Iran
Tehran should do more than" efforts to ensure stability in the Middle East and to get along with its neighbors, said Chinese Foreign Minister Chen Xiaodong
.The ump came out of a multinational agreement under which the sanctions against Iran were lifted in exchange for brakes on its nuclear program
Washington has since told the countries that they should stop buying Iranian oil from November 4 or so coping with financial measures
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