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I find myself a bit in limbo this year. Since I'm not going to Carnoustie before Saturday, I can not make my normal stop at a betting fair and bet on the British Open. And since the legalized game is not quite up and running in New York, it's not an option to bet my money either. Instead, I still have to bet with a friend who has an online account. The big disadvantage, though? He refuses to bet on any of the "favorites". He also refuses to bet on Tiger Woods. Even at 25 against 1. Sigh
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As a result, I have four $ 10 bets on the following players at longer odds: Marc Leishman ( 40/1), Branden Grace (50/1), Adam Scott (80/1) and Brandt Snedeker (125/1). So, if any of these guys wins, drink on me (in the media center) on Sunday night. So now that we have established who will certainly not want to claim the claret jug, here is who will probably be since I do not have money on them.
Tommy Fleetwood (20/1): Last year, Fleetwood was fashionable to choose from at Royal Birkdale, a course that he grew up just minutes away. Maybe the pressure of playing at home was too much, but it will not be a problem this year. The precise world iron game # 10 is well suited for Carnoustie and at 20 to 1, it always gets a decent price. Fleetwood understands the fact that he has set a new Carnoustie course record (63) at Alfred Dunhill Links last year due to different conditions, but you are not mistaken, Tommy.
__ Justin Rose (14/1): Late bet action has moved Rose to the second favorite (Dustin Johnson is 12/1 at Las Vegas Westgate Superbook), and it's well deserved. As Justin Ray of Golf Channel points out in Rose's last 22 world starts, Rose has almost as many wins (4) as he finishes in the top 10 (5). Although his ball shot left him on the weekend at the US Open, Rose showed that his best career result (7th on the PGA Tour) is good enough for the keep in contention. His Open record is surprisingly mediocre, but his second best result as a pro (T-12) was last seen at Carnoustie.
Henrik Stenson (25/1): trend here? I chose a lot of guys who were running in Shinnebad Hills last month – even this one despite a left elbow injury that is more likely to prevent him from chasing the burglars this year . While many players will tailor their game plan to hit fewer drivers this week, it's a strategy that Stenson has used to using with this 3-wood. The baking conditions should also make the Carnoustie game easier than usual, as indicated by the plus / minus for the low turn being set at 63.5. And the last time we saw a shooting at an Open in Scotland, we remember that this Swede came out pretty well . .
Tiger Woods (25/1): But none of what we said previously matters because Tiger Woods is winning this week. I told myself by writing this last week and I'm not the only one to choose Tiger to finally get another major title. Hank Haney and Brandel Chamblee are also aboard the Tiger train and for good reason. Woods is third in strokes / approach-the-green and when he misses the greens with his impeccable irons (or more likely because he's out of position on the tee), he is fourth in stroke strikes / around-the -green. Carnoustie will present a unique challenge that Woods will appreciate – especially because Big Cat will not have to rely much on the big dog. It's really a pity that I do not win money with this win, but it will still be fun to watch
RELATED: 7 Reasons Why Open is Tiger Woods' Best Chance for another major
Good luck to all fantasy and play this week, and please listen to our podcast of British Open:
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