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If you believe the latest probabilities of the 10th week of the NFL, several breakouts could be considered this week. Six games have one side favored by at least one touchdown, and four games have a two-digit spread. The Chiefs opened the scoring as 14-point home favorites against the Cardinals. This line has already risen to -16.5, making Kansas City one of the biggest favorites of the year. Other teams with big gaps in the NFL this week include the Chargers (-10) against the Raiders and Rams (-10) against the Seahawks. With NFL odds and lines of all sizes, check out the best NFL picks and predictions of Week 10 on the SportsLine computer before locking yours.
SportsLine's exclusive computer model grew from 176 to 80 last season and beat more than 95% of the CBS Sports Office pool players in 2016 and 2017. It also outperformed 98% of the experts followed by NFLPickWatch. com during this period. In addition, he scored 48-34 points on the A selections last season, and the $ 100 bettors who have followed him in the last two seasons have won almost 4,000 $.
The model continued to rank among the top picks in 2018, starting the 10th week with a solid 8-0 run. For the season, he is now 22-9 on all top scoring selections, extending his two-year run to a record 70-43. And as for all the choices, the model is 89-43 this season, again in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. All those who followed it go very far.
Now he's been reviewing the latest NFL odds and gaps, simulated 10,000 times in a snap, and his choices for the 10th week of the NFL are now available.
One of the best players in Week 10 of the NFL has seduced the model: the Patriots (-7) in Nashville against the Titans.
Many familiar faces will meet in this match while Titans coach Mike Vrabel will face former coach Bill Belichick. And while Tennessee won the Week 9 game against the Cowboys, the model appreciates the value of the Patriots this weekend.
According to the model, Tom Brady rode more than 300 yards, helping New England cover nearly 55 percent of the simulations. The lower (48.5) also has a lot of value because it beats more than 55% of the time in this battle of two defenses that yield less than 23 points per game.
Another of the strong predictions of the NFL's Week 10 model: the Packers (-10) cover home against the Dolphins.
This line climbed after opening at -7, but there is still value on Green Bay at Lambeau Field. Indeed, the Dolphins have lost four of their last six games in total and have a record of 1 to 3 against the spread on the road this year. The challenge is even more difficult in Miami, because the temperature should reign around zero at the time of the coup de send.
Brock Osweiler, who should take another start instead of injured Ryan Tannehill (shoulder), is expected to throw for just over 200 yards and has roughly the same chances of throwing an interception as a touchdown. Aaron Rodgers spends about 350 yards while the Packers cover nearly 60% of the simulations.
The model also has a strong selection for the big match between the Cowboys and the Eagles in "Sunday Night Football" and calls a competitor of the Super Bowl to make a great fright against a big underdog.
What NFL choices can you confidently make in the 10th week? And which Super Bowl candidate is scary? Check out the latest NFL ratings below, then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams have won more than 50% of the simulations, all from the model that has beaten 98% of the experts in the past two years.
Carolina Panthers at the Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.51.5)
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-7.5, 37)
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns (+4, 51)
New Orleans Saints at the Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5, 54)
Washington Redskins at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 51.5)
New England Patriots among the Titans of Tennessee (+7, 46.5)
Jaguars from Jacksonville to the Colts of Indianapolis (-3, 47)
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 45)
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs (-16.5, 50)
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders (+10, 50.5)
Miami Dolphins at Packers of Green Bay (-10, 47.5)
Seattle Seahawks at the Los Angeles Rams (-10, 51.5)
Dallas Cowboys at the Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, 43)
New York Giants to San Francisco 49ers (-3, 43.5)
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