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The potential tropical system in the northern Gulf of Mexico seemed to be organizing on Wednesday night with a convective gust near and southwest of the center of the system, as indicated by the
National Hurricane Center (NHC)
.
The potential tropical cyclone 2 was about to become a tropical depression from the forecast notice released Wednesday at 10pm.
The system is still expected to gradually turn into a tropical storm on Thursday with an initial southwesterly movement turning west on Thursday, then northwesterly to the Acadian coast from Friday to Saturday.
The last track has been pushed further east, according to the latest computer model guidelines, and is extremely close to the previous European model.
The system will call "Barry" once the circulation of a tropical storm has been identified.
Probability of moderate tropical storm and hurricane winds … these numbers will likely increase as the system gets closer.
The storm should become a Category 1 hurricane before landing … but could be stronger or weaker in a category … so keep that in mind.
All hurricanes will be possible everywhere in Acadiana from Friday evening and will continue all day Saturday with only a slow improvement in the night from Saturday to Sunday morning. Check out the latest schedules and severity levels below:
Hurricane monitoring remains in effect for most of southern Louisiana, from Cameron to the mouth of the Mississippi River, to Acadiana Parishes in Eastern Cameron, Vermilion, Iberia and St Mary's. hours (from Friday evening).
The latest data from the European model illustrate the possibility of flooding the rains from anywhere from Acadiana east to eastern Louisiana, with a band of 15-7. 25 "possible rain along and east of the storm center.
The total precipitation values at a given location are not official forecasts, so it is important to note that there will be a risk of heavy rain for 24 to 36 hours, somewhere in Louisiana and / or Acadiana, provided that the track does not vary much before the arrival of land. But there will be changes in the direction of the heavy rains east and / or west, or in both directions over the next two days.
For now, plan at least 5 to 15 inches of rain.
In addition to the major flood threat, tropical storm winds and gusts of 75mph or more will be possible during the severe storm that is currently set for Saturday … the data provided by the European model are only approximate indications now … but again, there can be big changes depending on the final intensity and the trajectory.
According to the latest images below, a major storm surge is likely to flood the extreme coastal areas of Acadiana. with coastal interests.
Flooding up to 3 to 6 feet will be possible mainly in areas near or surrounded by marshes.
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