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Because local and regional conditions can not tolerate the outbreak of a Sunni-Shiite conflict directly in Beirut, especially since the unequal internal force relationship will eliminate the Sunni "defenseless" component, while Hezbollah has an arsenal of weapons and missiles among the most important in the region. In a review of a part of it in the streets of Beirut on May 7, 2008 – political sources tell the "central" that the life of the country since before the election of General Michel Aoun to the presidency of the Republic is in fact an "indirect" between the parties.
This ram turning by means, took more than form. After the March 14 forces, in which the party had a role to play, the latter resorted more than once to the disengagement force and the boycott, in cooperation with its allies, to impose the options that guarantee its limited and strategic political interests on the local scene:
This is what he did during the formation of governments during this period, as well as during the presidential elections, often adopting a policy of "tipping" behind "the argument", supporting the claims of " right "of its allies. He has also managed to seize an electoral law that suits him perfectly. While maintaining the dominance of its environment, allowing at the same time to divide the ranks of its opponents, including the Future Movement and the Progressive Socialist Party, opening the door to the entrance of Sunni and Druze allies to the parliamentary seminary.
What is happening today in the case of "orchard" incidents is only a new chapter in the scenario of the confrontation between the great Sunnis and Shiites itself, always by means, the sources add. Prime Minister Saad Hariri and Progressive Socialist Party leader Walid Jumblatt and Lebanese Forces Party leader Samir Geagea have launched a crucial battle in the battle for an effective state and illegal disarmament, a key strategic goal registered in the Hezbollah program.
However, if the suburbs continue to support the claims of the leader of the Democratic Party, MP Talal Arslan, to refer the orchard file to the Justice Council, even through a vote in the Council of Ministers, without him ask for the door "(This can be suggested by the chosen badignment of the two orchards and orchards, as well as one of the" Adly "), if this case is maintained, they will benefit from climbing Arslan to achieve other goals, including the concatenation of Prime Minister Hariri and obliging him to compromise before the other team or His government was upset, including because he refuses to put a "language The Council of Justice on the table of the Cabinet of Ministers fears detonating from the inside.
It is a real source, of relay sources, which is not limited to a Druze-Druze conflict. While pointing out that Hariri, Jumblatt and Jaareg are aware of this reality and are never breaking up, the sources say that the prime minister will continue his efforts to get out of the orchards marsh through the streets. a "exit" consensual, but he will not accept his arm in the current confrontation, The retreat "this time can represent a significant cost, not only for the image in the street and at the national level , but also for the image of regional powers and major international groups …
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