13 years without Israeli attacks. Who is planning Tel Aviv?



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Under the title 13 years without Israeli attacks, Yahya Dibuk wrote in al-Akhbar: In those days of 2006, the military leadership in Tel Aviv and its political context were constantly wandering among its military options. At the time, Israel felt the limited air force capability and "distance fire", no matter how ambitious, to achieve the objectives, which required to put his option on the ground on the table.

Like the air force options, Israel has started to flounder with the activation of ground options and incursions on the ground. Lebanese territory. Instead of defeating Hezbollah, the mission entrusted to the troops, the mission has been transformed into a "heroic rescue" mission of firing wounded and dead corpses on the rear lines, preventing Hezbollah from capturing a soldier, dead or dead.

As in the post-war Hebrew literature, based on the testimonies of officers and soldiers and on the findings of the military inquiry commissions, the elite units and other units, Golani, from Givati, paratroopers and others, have been ordered to control, occupy and "clean" the elements of Hezbollah towns and villages. However, after the friction with Hezbollah, this task was turned into a rescue mission rather than a mission of victory.

If this is the case of the last war and one of the characteristics that left it in its memory, the paradox is that it is always questioned, taken and questioned in Israel, despite 13 years of war. Will the next war fail? Will "heroic rescue missions" be repeated?

The answer to the question may be "no" too big. Israel can not afford to repeat the results of the last war, namely the shameful result of the land battle against Hezbollah.
But at the same time, questions fueled by confessions and testimonies of senior Israeli officers about Israel 's ability to fight on the ground are emerging. After years, has he managed to be ready to face direct clashes and incursions into Lebanese territory? The answer here is also "no", as evidenced by a number of senior officers who reviewed the restoration and its results. In the words of the former head of the Military Intelligence Division, General Amos Yadlin, "the ground combat of the Israeli army could not be a natural reflection of the Israeli public." of justice is the reflection of the general public, who does not want to offer the price and the losses ".

However, if Israel does not allow itself to fail once again and at the same time recognizes its land options, it is clear that it will not present its forces in Lebanon. It also means that if the war breaks out, it will be enough to activate the aviation and the "firing fight".
And this war – even if it broke out – without the wild options, would not be intended to defeat Hezbollah, which can not be achieved without the earthly option. A war that will focus on air forces and fire at a distance, and the purpose of destruction and abuse and expensive.

In parallel, such a battlefield and its place are the home front on both sides, without exception. On this occasion, it is useful to recall the estimates of the current commander of the IDF internal front, says Major-General Tamir, as it was received yesterday in Haaretz:
"Since 2006, the enemy has developed large-scale rocket systems capable of launching large-scale and continuous fire to all parts of Israel." In this context, the enemy has developed a concept going beyond intimidation and intimidation to paralyze Israel 's home front and compel it to stay in. shelters, as well as in ports of obstacles and airports. And penetrate the missile intercept systems of Israel. "

"The terrorist armies around us are developing specific offensive capabilities and aiming to paralyze vital poles of the civilian economy, such as electricity and water, as well as on the military front," he said. said Tamir, who claims to threaten the precision weapon, the newcomer to Hezbollah's power balance. Intelligence Sites and Air Defense Units ".

"The Israeli army has not prepared properly, even though everyone knows the evolution of the threat on the home front," said the president, who took office in 2017. Since coming to power, Not solved all the problems, and the road is still long. "

The military rulers in Tel Aviv, as it has been for 13 years, forced political leaders to uphold the most important decision banning the home front. To receive the consequences of the next war, namely to prevent or provoke the outbreak of this war.

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