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Many observers are in favor of comparing the US-Russian summit in Helsinki on July 16 with the peaks of the Soviet-era Soviet cold war.
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(19659003) This comparison may be overestimated as the world was a day in history, the Soviet Union was a huge parallel military force in the United States of America, and the world's affairs were at top of the negotiating table under the title of World Affairs.
But this comparison can only be valid in the Middle East, where Russia has a direct and active military presence for the first time in its history on the Syrian arena, and most importantly, Moscow holds a the most ingenious and important articulations of multi-circle conflicts in the world.
The strong Russian presence, filling the void created by the moderate withdrawal of the United States from the Middle East, gave Moscow the first word and the strongest influence on any new arrangement or arrangement proposed to that part of the world.
1 - Bilateral relations between the two countries
2 - Syria and plans to end the war and organize the next stage.
3 - Iran and its influence in the new geopolitical map drawn.
Diplomatic circles expect the American president to present a new constitution
On the basis of its influence in the Middle East, Moscow is trying to widen the door of compromise to serve as 39 exchange of services between the Middle East and other regions such as Crimea, a very interesting region for Russia and considered an intervention.
From there, Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to establish a kind of permanent framework of consultation and understanding between the two countries to maintain the principle of "exchange of services" in place.
According to the information, the "first divisions" Specialized from both countries have started intensive meetings to complete in advance all the points in order to ensure the success of the summit by avoiding any element suddenly likely to compromise the required consensus.
It is natural and logical that the subject of bilateral relations should be the first. The burden of what has become known as "communication" with Russia during election campaigns.
Russian diplomacy eventually complained that all of Trump's ideas and slogans had faded during the elections and that he had become one of the traditional American political schools.
Russian diplomats considered that Republicans were working to inform Trump and to embrace him completely and to educate him politically so that he was different from the first ones.
But Trump wanted to prepare very carefully for his team with Putin, on the one hand he sent his team to advance understanding with the Putin team at all points. In exchange, his foreign minister, Pompeo, chose to prepare his well-known team, and even his hostility to Russia, as well as statements to his national security adviser, John Bolton, no less severe in the Russian file. . What is still pursued by God
The same is true of Washington's rejection of the annexation of Crimea, but this statement was made by the deputy spokesman of the White House, which means that Trump wanted to lead the situation inside the United States.
Important arrangements have been made since then, especially in southern Syria, where all the details are supervised by high-level Russian officers, followed by Russian aviation in coordination with both armies. American and Israeli. Russian officers had to negotiate with armed groups and tribal and city elders.
It is clear that the US-Russia summit will make all the necessary arrangements for the post-war phase in Syria. It is also clear that there is an American trend to seek to limit the role of Iran in Syria in the future as long as Tehran refuses to sit down and understand with Washington the records of the region
. In exchange for the separation of Iran and Hezbollah from the lines of separation with Israel at a depth of 40 kilometers. Israeli reinforcements in the occupied Golan were an Israeli message to respect the agreements and alert the Syrian army to bypbad the armistice lines in addition to its opposition to the presence of Hezbollah cadres in the Syrian forces in uniform .
The British Times reported that Iranian officers were training the best Taliban fighters under two conditions: first, a greater concentration on the attack on American and NATO interests in Afghanistan.
The press also accuses Iran of espionage activities in Germany, some of which are focused on the army
It is noted that the US embbady in Baghdad reinforced its security measures and returned US surveillance aircraft to its military bases. At the same time, Iraqi armed factions loyal to Iran intensified their aggressive rhetoric against the Americans, as well as a propaganda campaign against Trump that included the walls of Baghdad.
But this mood gloomy, even dangerous, But remains under pressure According to knowledgeable diplomatic circles, the Russian response to the US demand to expel Iran from Syria is negative: "We are n & # 39; We do not really have the potential to completely drive Iran out of Syria and the commitment of this mission will threaten all the Russian achievements in the region. "The ignorance of Iran's interests can not lead to the establishment of a lasting peace in the Middle East, on the contrary, it will spread chaos and threaten our interests and our interests. interests."
In an additional index of Western intent that the post-war order in Syria be organized, the appointment of French President Q ambbadador to Iran François Sbimo his personal representative in Syria. It is true that Paris said that this appointment did not mean the reopening of the French Embbady in Damascus, but it does so without a doubt. The French diplomat, former head of foreign intelligence services and ambbadador to Lebanon at the time of the "Nissan deal", has channels of communication and personal relations in Damascus, where foreign intelligence services are one of the secret lines of communication between Paris and Damascus. Syrian Foreign Minister Bashar Al-Assad recently pointed out that Western countries are seeking to strengthen security cooperation with Syrian agencies in the fight against terrorism and that Damascus demands that this be done in the context of cooperation. diplomatic mission. Confirm Adha that he can overcome the Iranian influence according to Moscow's advice.
Contrary to the information circulating, "Hezbollah" made no decision to any of its troops in Lebanon.
Over the past few days, the Director General of General Security, General Abbas Ibrahim, met in Paris with senior French officials, who, in turn, at their invitation, where the file of displaced Syrians is an element key to the agenda
In this step an additional indicator of "cooks" being in preparation for the Syrian arena and the post-war period.
In contrast, Lebanon prevails And narrow calculations on how to approach the government. Minimal accountability and political maturity are supposed to go to a mini-government that includes ineffective and reckless powers to deal with the dramatic changes that await Syria and that will have a strong impact on Lebanon, its future and its composition in times of crisis. imminent bankruptcy.
Interest in the idea of a visit by the US Secretary of State Pompeo in some capitals of the Middle East, including Beirut, after the US-Russian summit, although that this round does not reach the level of the decision. The contact between Pompeo and Hariri confirms the impact of the results of the US-Russian summit on Lebanon.
