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Why will heating, gas and electricity cost more next year? The Daily talked about the chairman of the Lithuanian Association of Heating Suppliers, dr. Valdas Lukoševičius, chairman of the Seimas Energy Commission, Virgilijus Poderys, chief economist of SEB Bank, Tadas Povilauskas.
Encouraged the power not to make populist decisions
The interlocutors noted that prices of gas, electricity and heating have fallen in recent years. It is not surprising that they are now lowering down.
"The price of heat dropped sharply because of the development of biofuels when we changed natural gas, so we had a good three to four year period, during which prices have been steadily decreasing and they probably have reached the bottom of the heating season last year, and they are now starting to grow, "said V. Lukoshevich.
T. Povilauskas noted that electricity prices in Lithuania were already equivalent to those in Sweden, which is a welcome change.
"The state has made a good investment in NordBalt's relationship with Sweden, and we can praise it." In the past, our electricity costs were much higher than in Sweden, so the change is We are dependent on international markets What can we do Think of programs to ensure cheaper electricity production in the long term ", – noted.
He also called for no emphasis on price increases, as it would be temporary and more prompted by the authorities to take no action to change prices before the elections.
"If we stop the price increases, it will be even more likely for us in the next 3 to 5 years," he said, recognizing that such an increase would not increase the most vocal voice. strong leaders before the elections.
Wallet wipes, but not much
V. Lukosevicius noted that the price of heat per se is not even the most important factor in Lithuania, namely the sensitivity of respondents to fluctuations.
"Our problem is heat consumption, we have very different houses and if electricity prices vary from 20 to 25% in different cities, the consumption between good and bad houses varies between 6 and 8 times. And, of course, people living in poor households complain, "he said.
Mr Poderys said renovation programs should be restructured.
Virgilijus Poderys
"I recorded a correction that the renovation models would not only be heavy when we would delete the entire quarter, we smileEverything is cleaned, we burn, but it is supported by the lighter, called engineering, for example, when hot spots are set, a balanced system, which is 10 times cheaper than a complex renovation.
We need to do this because if we get to what we are going now, we will allocate money to a limited number of houses, while others will stay there for decades, until they receive support, "said the Sejm member.
At the time, economist T. Povilaskas calculated that rising prices would not have a significant impact on the Lithuanian currency.
"If the cost of gas, electricity and heating is 5 to 7%, the increase would be about 10 euros for a rough basket, in terms of standard Lithuanian household." So this increase of 10 euros per month depends on your income.If there is a lot, such an increase is not stressful, but if you are retired, these 10 euros will be stressed, "he noted.
Food prices can also be shaken
The program manager noted that everything used in food production is becoming more expensive. He asked if this would suggest that the prime minister had tried to force traders to see the signals getting stronger, so that they did not raise prices before the elections, but T. Povilauskas did not. Did not dare to say it.
"I did not go there directly, but the fact that companies have felt more expensive in terms of raw materials since the summer.Commercial accounts are published every month at current exchange rates, which explains why why companies really feel it, "he said.
Tadas Povilaskas
However, he did not dare to claim that this would mark a food and product price boom after the New Year: "The company is paying more for electricity today," she says. must pay 30% for this second, more expensive than electricity, and since January 1st it will be felt by the inhabitants ".
He acknowledged, however, that vegetables could be cherished: "If they are grown in greenhouses, their electricity is a very important part, so it may be worth it."
Mr Poderys did not deny that rising prices for electricity, gas and heating could eventually lead to higher commodity prices.
"If the business has three components, the trend is on the rise.Is going to look at the shelves and prices will change, it's still up to the competition, but the trends are at the increase, "he said.
Heating Vilniaus Energija
The interlocutors urged not to insist too much on rising prices, but advised to save money.
"The horizons see the clouds and they are more and more numerous.There is no need to scare this place, but it should be noted that there is still a little to do," said V. Poderys, who asked him if he would miss Christmas?
Prices are rising not only in Lithuania
The interpreters explained that gasoline prices were rising all over Europe. It is therefore not surprising that this is the solution for us.
"If we're talking about primary resources – gas, then there are geopolitical or regional factors here, and they're very objective, because there's not a single player who could lead it," V said. lukosevicius.
Valdas Lukoševičius
"The big part of the tariff is what is the product itself, what is sold in the market, and this price in the whole region has increased by 30 to 40%, which is why it is reflected in our domestic consumers as well as businesses.But this is not the only reason, "said V. Poderys.
T. Povilaskas also put forward a number of possible reasons: "Remember that the energy sector depends on time.
We also think that the price of electricity is rising in the northern region, because in the northern countries, last winter was dry, the spring is dry, the summer is dry. Countries based on hydropower had very low reservoirs of hydroelectric power, which led to a cheap and low-cost electricity supply. Prices have gone up.
What was gas – February this year was cold all over Western Europe, causing the emergence of gas reserves – prices soared. So all of this is linked. And the growth of the global economy has driven up the cost of raw materials, which has boosted prices in international markets. "
Noting the decline in oil prices, but not reacting to prices for electricity, gas and heating, T. Povilauskas argued that we are not able to badociate these prices because they are differentiated by different markets at certain times.
Arnis Mazėtis, Valdas Lukoševičius, Virgilijus Poderys, Tadas Povilauskas
Mr Poderys regretted at the time that everything was coming together at the same time: "It must be admitted that many events and incidents occurred simultaneously, due to the scarcity of water in Scandinavia and the closure of certain nuclear power plants, electricity prices have risen, rising heating prices have been caused by rising prices for biofuels, while the price of gas in the United States has increased by 80%. regional and global levels have therefore combined in one period. "
According to V. Poderius, the state can only manage the prices of biofuels, but it has not done so. "Is it really that the state itself could not manage biofuel prices? I think the Forest Enterprise State could have been proactive," he said.
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