Mexico 2018 Presidential Elections: The left turn that is put to the vote during a historic election



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It was so many people that it did not fit with the iconic Estadio Azteca, with a capacity of 100,000 people. A hundred thousand others followed the webcast and it was a global trend like AMLOFEST.

The closing of the campaign last Wednesday by Andrés Manuel López Obrador, AMLO, the main presidential candidate of Mexico according to all the polls, was spectacular and very moving.

Thousands of people chanted: "It's an honor to be with Obrador."

His speech resembled a swearing-in speech.

"Our government will respect everyone, but will give preference to the poor We will do it as always, out of conviction, but also because in an unequal society like ours, it is almost impossible to reach to peace without justice and well-being, "he said.

This is his third attempt to reach the presidency and polls say he will most likely succeed this time

The last measures published before the "closing of the election", a silence of 3 days, give him between 14 and 32 points ahead of his nearest competitor.

The second place varies, according to the surveys

  102255837tv047786596-c3f782945004c09052bf21f83658d2c2.jpg Ricardo Anaya, candidate of the Front, ranks second, according to some polls / AFP

For some, it could be Ricardo Anaya, named by the Por México al coalition Frente , formed by the parties National Action (PAN), Democratic Revolution (PRD) and Movimiento Ciudadano (MC).

For others, the official Jose Antonio Meade, of the All for Mexico coalition, formed by the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), Green Ecologist (PVEM) and New Alliance.

But in Mexico, there is no second round

Great advantage in the polls

This is the first time in Mexico (since 1994, that the electoral preferences are measured) , that a candidate ends the campaign with such a large advantage.

If this prediction is met at the polls, Mexico will have the first president on the left.

Analysts Agree: Mexicans will vote motivated by anger and discontent with the system represented primarily by the Institutional Revolutionary Parties (PRI) and National Action (PAN).

"If it is confirmed, it seems to me clear that it is a reasoned, democratic vote, of punishment fundamentally to the PRI, but also to the PAN, the parties that have succeeded each other in recent years , which were completely disastrous, "writes the writer Jorge Volpi at the BBC Mundo.

  101992900hi046955038-0ab53d06bd08916eb1a422a125ab4ed4.jpg According to polls, Andrés Manuel López Obrador has a large advantage over his opponents. / AFP

Difficult years

The writer, who criticized the various governments, tells of the most important problems of Mexico in recent decades.

Remember that in the year 2000 it was the first time that the PAN won the presidency, after 71 years of PRI government.

"Although there have been significant advances, Vicente Fox has not finished reforming the old system, especially on the issue of inequality," explains there.

The next election, in 2006, " has terribly competed and with the shadow of fraud behind", PAN remained in the government.

That year, Felipe Calderón and AMLO declared themselves winners.

The leftist candidate calls his supporters to block the Reforma, one of the main avenues of Mexico City, and protests for 45 days.

Finally the Electoral Court gave the victory to Calderón with a 0.56% vote advantage.

  102255831tv047747102-15dab45c1ad4249a1cd202d44552930e.jpg AMLO was the character of the campaign for the presidency of Mexico, according to analysts. / AFP

"The action of President Felipe Calderón was the war against drug trafficking whose direct consequence is the more than 200,000 victims that we have from that moment." 2012 with Enrique Peña Nieto, was a "punishment to the government of Calderón" thinking that the PRI could return to social peace, he says.

But the violence continues.

"Moreover, the emblematic disappearance of the students of Ayotzinapa has passed.

On the other hand, many corruption scandals have arisen, associated with the president himself and a large number of officials and governors of the PRI ".

Thus, the change by which it is voted would be: to stop violence and corruption, in addition to the huge inequality, Volpi says.

  101995995gettyimages891605768-65ab61f3735e488f67155c839734d0b9.jpg Violence is one of the biggest concerns of Mexican voters. / Getty Images

Precisely his speech and Politics Against Inequality is the characteristic of AMLO for which he is considered left-wing, says the writer. "On Other Issues This is very conservative ", he says

Variegated Coalition

The coalition that is likely to bring him to power has a wing left. But it is very broad: there are people from several political parties.

"They are in coalition with the Party of Social Encounter, the Evangelical Court and also with the Labor Party, which even supports North Korea, so many colors who have left politics are not so visible ".

In Mexico it is very difficult to situate the parties as being left or right, "the ideology is very vague" explains Javier Oliva Posada, specialist of the electoral processes of the country. UNAM

  102255835tv047787381- 7d3ccb0df90a5570882e7e6ed2926250.jpg AMLO conducted polls on voting preferences. / AFP

There are two factors that influence: that the president has a lot of power and that the ideologies have been lost in the different alliances between the different parties, he says.

AMLO policies closest to the left explains that, when he was in charge of the Mexico City government between 2000 and 2006, he created the universal pension for the elderly ] which was later copied at the federal level.

But the UNAM analyst believes that AMLO had contradictions.

"He did not increase one meter subway, he did not invest in public transportation, but he built a second floor of the ring road (a fast lane),

Choice Between Continuity and Change

In this election, rather than choosing between left and right, voters will choose between continuity and change explains Castaños.

AMLO means change.

  102255833gettyimages500324198-e240147462662ab8b5c5e511854bae21.jpg This Sunday, Mexicans elect their next president. / Getty Images

He says AMLO and his government will bet on social protection measures , the flags of the traditional left.

However, there is a doubt in the economic policies that will be established when he wins, he says.

"There will be internal tensions in the country. Government team, there are different s currents that will lead in different directions, "he says.

Also, he believes that progressive measures, such as freedom of sexual preference or decriminalization of abortion. they will remain in a dead end, "because AMLO yields to his evangelical allies ".

On the way to the podium to deliver his campaign closing speech, AMLO took a photo with a rainbow flag, representing sexual diversity, which was very famous.

This was considered a symbolic act of the approach of this minority, because it was one of the few winks of the eye. He did during his campaign.

  102255941tv047784202-7e326d6100a562111e69c9d860efaf03.jpg The closure of the AMLO campaign filled the Azteca Stadium and was followed online. / AFP

Already on the podium, he enthused his supporters by being vindictive, naming social fighters and illustrious people. He promised a "Revolution without violence" .

The writer Jorge Volpi points out that, for the people who would compose his cabinet "it would seem that the government would be extremely centrist, a more peaceful change than many would imagine, but that is some something we do not know yet. "

Aimed that the great challenge of AMLO would be the construction of an independent justice system transparent and reliable.

"This is an issue that has been left out and that is the only way out that would guarantee an end to corruption and violence," he says.

"Good President"

The AMLOFEST is over with AMLO asking for the vote on Sunday.

"I have, and I confess, a legitimate ambition: I want to be a good president of Mexico" he said at the end of his speech

This desire has brought it to wrestle in the last three presidential campaigns.

It remains to be seen whether the predictions are confirmed and the Mexicans choose him as their next president.


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