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After the Red Sox selected Marcelo Mayer with their first selection in this year’s draft at number four, they followed him up with another highly-rated player, although whose stock has fallen since the start of the college season. . With their second-round pick, Boston brought in Jud Fabian, a University of Florida outfielder.
Returning to the start of the draft season in February, as the college season prepared to begin, Fabian was seen as a potential Red Sox pick in fourth overall. He didn’t do enough to allay some concerns that we’ll get to in a second and saw his stock drop, but the Red Sox still managed to catch him. Fabian was ranked 27th in the class by Baseball America, 23rd by MLB Pipeline, 24th by FanGraphs and 32nd by Perfect Game.
At Fabian, the Red Sox have a center fielder who should be able to get in the middle and play above-average defense as well. In addition to defense, Fabian also possesses significant raw power, rated at 60 on the 20-80 scale by MLB Pipeline. Power and center defense are a tough combination to beat, but the concerns discussed above revolve around the hitting tool. There is a lot of swing-and-miss to his game, and a lack of contact makes it very difficult to tap into the power consistently.
That said, the Red Sox have a good track record with developing hitters and have been focusing on powerful hitters with questions about hitting tools lately. This is a very promising choice – and it’s also worth mentioning that Fabian is one of the youngest college players in the class, not turning 21 until the end of September – giving the Red Sox a very, very good start to the draft, unless on paper.
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