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By Carrie Dann
WASHINGTON – Even if the White House claims a justification of the summary of the findings of the special advocate Robert Mueller in the investigation of Russia, the American public does not see a clear verdict as to whether President Donald Trump has been cleared.
According to a new NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll, 29% of Americans believe they have been cleared of wrongdoing, based on what they have heard from Mueller's findings, while 40% say that they do not think so.
But one third of Americans – 31% – say they are uncertain if Trump has been eliminated. This includes almost half of independents (45%) and about a quarter of Democrats (27%) and Republicans (25%).
Respondents were asked about their views on the work of the special advocate on March 25 and 27, from the day after the Attorney General William Barr issued his summary of Mueller's report that the "Lawyer" was the only one in the world. Investigation "did not reveal that the Trump campaign or anyone associated with it had conspired or coordinated with Russia in its efforts to influence the 2016 US presidential election".
Barr also announced that Mueller had declined to determine whether Trump was obstructing justice. The Attorney General informed Congress Friday that more reports from Mueller would be published in mid-April.
"The public remains attentive to this investigation and what it means to Trump," said Jeff Horwitt of the Hart Research Democratic Society, who conducted the poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies.
Much of this ambiguity may be due to the fact that less than half of the population claims to have been deeply involved in reporting on Barr's summary of Mueller's findings.
While a large majority of Americans – 78% – say they have heard of Mueller's submission of his final report, only 39% say they have "heard a lot" about the story. It is a smaller part of the population than those who said they heard many other important stories in Trump's political history, including his decision to fire James Comey (56%) or the release of the video tape. 'Access Hollywood (66%).
"As important as this event was in the community of Washington, DC, and perhaps our political culture, it was not an event that captivated the American public," McInturff said.
The story on the Mueller probe also did not significantly affect the president's approval rate of 43%. Fifty-three percent of Americans disapprove of its results.
In February, Trump's approval rate was 46%, but this month's lag is within the poll's margin of error.
Since last month, fewer and fewer Americans say that Mueller's investigation has given them more doubts about Trump's presidency. In the February survey by NBC / WSJ, 48% of Americans said the survey gave them more doubts, while 47% disagreed. Today, 36% of respondents have more doubts about Trump, against 57% who are not of this opinion.
But almost all this change has occurred among the Democrats. In February, 82% of Democrats expressed more doubts following the survey, compared with 61% at present. But the same period did not increase Trump's overall approval among Democrats.
Warning signs for Trump by 2020 – as well as some Democratic presidential candidates
Although the survey did not reveal any significant change in the president's approval rate, he revealed persistent weaknesses as he was preparing to re-represent himself.
Overall, half of registered voters say they are "very uncomfortable" with their application, while 9% say they have "some reservations".
Among those who say they are "very badly at ease", there are at least half of several traditional electoral groups, such as the self-employed (50% say "very badly at ease"), suburban women (56%) and moderates (57%).
In contrast, just 26% of voters say they are "enthusiastic" about Trump's bid for 2020, with 14% saying they are "comfortable".
But some Democratic candidates also face significant discomfort on the part of voters.
In total, 58% of voters are uncomfortable (37%) or have reservations about (21%) Bernie Sanders' candidacy for 2020. For Elizabeth Warren, this is a total of 53%. And for Kamala Harris and Beto O'Rourke, 41% of voters have expressed reservations or are embarrassed.
For Joe Biden, who has not yet officially announced his candidacy for the presidency, 47% of candidates are either enthusiastic (17%) or at ease (30%) with him as a candidate, against 48% who are uncomfortable or have reservations.
Democrats name Biden among the most acceptable candidates
Among the Democratic primary voters, Biden seems to be the most acceptable presidential candidate at the moment.
In total, 73% of Democrats say they are enthusiastic (33%) or comfortable (40%) with Biden as a candidate, while only 25% have reservations (19%) or are struggling with # Comfortable (6%)
Democratic embarrassment is greater for the two known candidates who have spoken the most about progressive policy proposals: Sanders and Warren.
For Sanders, 27% of primary voters say they have reserves while 9% are very uncomfortable.
For Warren, 23% of Democratic primaries have reservations and 10% are very uncomfortable.
More than a quarter of Democrats also expressed hesitation about Beto O'Rourke (22% with reservations, 7% uncomfortable) and Kamala Harris (21% with reservations and 6% with difficulty). # 39; s home). But a significant number of Democratic voters – about one in five – do not know enough about these candidates to express an opinion.
Most Americans have heard of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Since her surprise victory at the Congressional District primary in New York last year, Progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has become one of the most recognizable political figures in the country, the poll reveals.
More than seven out of ten Americans (72%) say they know enough about Ocasio-Cortez to form an opinion – a rapid rise in the name of a new character on the national scene.
Among all Americans, 23% have a positive opinion of it, while 34% have a negative opinion.
The intensity of feelings towards the New York MP is stronger on the right than on the right. Forty-six percent of Democrats have a positive opinion of it, while 64% of Republicans have one.
55% of people who regularly watch Fox News have a negative opinion of Ocasio-Cortez. This is more than twice the number of people who regularly watch broadcast news to stay informed.
The full NBC / WSJ contact survey was conducted from March 23 to 27, 2019. Questions regarding the publication of a summary of the Mueller report were raised from March 25 to 27. The margin of error per 1,000 adults surveyed is +/- 3.1%. The margin of error for registered voters is +/- 3.45%. The margin of error for Democratic primary voters is +/- 5.82%.
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