National emergency vote poses a dilemma for Republicans



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Do you want ice cream or cake?

As someone who recently celebrated his birthday, I know it's hard to decide.

The easy solution is an ice cream cake.

Head to Baskin-Robbins. Dairy queen. Carvel. All we need is an ice cream cake.

Congressional Republicans may need to call on Fudgie the Whale's services themselves. They too are facing a dessert dilemma. Ice cream or cake? Funds for a border wall? Or money for a military spending priority in their state or district?

It is there that Fudgie intervenes.

President Trump's national emergency ransacked various credit silos, which Congress has targeted for specific Pentagon and "Military Construction" projects. The national emergency redistributes money for the wall. GOPers want the wall. But they also do not want President Trump stealing their pet project home.

The best solution to the dilemma is perhaps the credit equivalent of an ice cream cake.

All lawmakers now know that these are the big pots of money from which the Trump administration is going to plunder money for the wall. But everyone is in the dark when it comes to details.

"I asked for clarification," said Senate Supply Committee Chairman Richard Shelby, R-Ala., After a breakfast at the Pentagon with Acting Secretary of Defense Patrick Shanahan.

The Democratic leaders of the House's Credit and Armed Services Committees also wrote to Shanahan asking what programs were pending.

"We ask you to produce the requested documents and information no later than March 21, 2019," the Democrats wrote.

This is what happens when the power of the stock market is ceded to the executive. No one on Capitol Hill knows what's going on.

The Senate is working to follow the example of the House and to vote to end the national emergency. The House has already voted to cancel the president's action. The Senate will do the same. At least four Republican senators will join the Senate's 47 Senate Democrats to end the national emergency. Senator Rand Paul, R-Ky., Is one of four public GOP Yeas. Paul says there are about ten other GOPers who will likely vote to end the national emergency.

"There are four, there are ten," said a Republican senator in Fox.

But there are not enough votes in the House or Senate to cancel a possible veto by Trump. In the Senate, sixty-seven votes are needed to cancel a presidential veto.

But that's why the list of "details", as Shelby said, is so important. If the senators actually had concrete information on the military plans that the administration could loot for the wall, it is possible that more senators could vote to push back Trump.

If you are for the wall, it may be a good argument for retaining the list after the Senate vote.

Senator Mitt Romney, Utah, says he would like to see the role in advance.

"I would certainly support that. I know a number of people who would probably do it, "said Romney.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., Continues to say that Republicans have a "heated discussion" on the vote of disapproval of the national emergency declaration and potential impacts on military projects key. McConnell supported Trump's decision to declare the national emergency to avoid a second government shutdown. But McConnell adds, "I advised the president not to take that path." The Kentucky Republican also said that he "had no" solution as to how that would end. " The only thing that is clear is that the Senate will vote to reject the national emergency. statement, tempting President Trump to issue his first veto.

A vote to rescind the resolution is another example of the Senate GOP's dissension with the president. In recent months, Republican senators have broken with the president after a quick withdrawal from Syria and the way the administration had treated Saudi Arabia after the death of Jamal Khashoggi and the president. cancellation of certain Russian sanctions. Fox is told that Trump was about to face a "jailbreak" of GOP defections if the government had not reopened after its closure.

A vote to rescind the resolution is another example of the Senate GOP's dissension with the president.

If the Senate approves the package, the House and Senate are aligned and go to President Trump, praying for the right of veto.

President Obama vetoed his first bill after just 11 months of work. President George W. Bush has never vetoed a bill before he has been in power for five and a half years. President Bill Clinton only exercised his veto after two and a half years of presidency.

The presidents vetoed only 2,500 laws in the history of the republic. But the founders wanted to give Congress one last chance to pass the head of the executive. It's a veto right.

One of the few rarer things than a veto is the successful passing of the veto.

The gambit requires a two-thirds vote of both congressional bodies. It is 67 votes in the Senate, provided that 100 senators vote. And 427 members of the House voted on the bill to block the national emergency last month. So, there are 285 votes. 245 members voted in favor of the bill. Thus, the House lost 40 votes.

We do not expect a successful derogation from a possible veto of the national emergency. Math does not work.

The last unsuccessful attempt to neutralize a veto took place in January 2016. President Barack Obama vetoed a Republican attempt to repeal ObamaCare. The House voted 241-186, far from the 285 votes needed to override. The maneuver never went to the Senate because the derogation maneuver failed in the House.

Note that the vote to be canceled is based on the number of lawmakers participating in the substitution effort itself and not on the number of members voting on the bill when it adopted both instances. It is therefore impossible to determine the exact number required to override the end of the vote to cancel the veto.

The last successful veto procedure took place in September 2016. Obama vetoed the Justice Against Terrorist Terrorism Act. The measure allowed families of 9/11 victims to sue the perpetrators of the attacks, including in Saudi Arabia. The Senate voted 97-1 to cancel Obama; 66 votes were needed. The House voted 348-77 with a legislator present. And 284 yes were necessary for the derogation.

The eventual attempt to circumvent the veto will go to the House, since it is the body behind the law of disapproval of the president's national emergency declaration. If the derogation initiative is missing in the House, the effort stops there. He never travels to the Senate.

This is an advantage for some Republican senators. They can be for the national emergency. Oppose Mr. Trump who is plundering money for the wall of projects important to them and who know they will never have to vote to cancel the veto right. GOP Senators can change their votes and positions as they wish.

This is the ice cream cake of politics. Have both. Get the ice cream and the cake, packed in one.

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