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13:00 – The PSV would be in a basin much heavier than Ajax. This is the very heard discussion around European nights. Where wintering in the Europa League seems to be the best possible for the Premier League, the finalist of Amsterdam feels the playoff stage of the Champions League. FCUpdate.nl takes the test at the sum and gives an answer.
Current Scenarios
To keep his prospects in Group B, PSV might not lose Tuesday night in Tottenham Hotspur. In case of victory, the reigning national champion can secretly hope for wintering in the Champions League, when PSV and Tottenham play at Wembley, the Europa League seems the best possible. In case of defeat, there is only a slight theoretical chance of wintering in Europe.
The situation of Ajax is so different and more rosy. Wintering at least in the Europa League is almost a fact and Ajax has excellent papers to survive in the Champions League. If Erik Ten Hag's team wins in Benfica on Wednesday night, she will return to the elimination phase of the billion-ball after the winter break. In Lisbon, the maps have not yet been mixed, but in principle, Ajax should not be mistaken.
The facts are known, but what would happen if the PSV in a group had been linked to Bayern Munich, Benfica and AEK Athens? Remiqz, co-developer of the European Club Index (a composite ranking based on the qualities of a team and the second best predictor of last season) and the European Player Index (the relative quality of a player), launched: all available dates, such as those before the start of the Champions League, in the blender. The result is a simulation of PSV's performance in the Ajax group, and vice versa.
The simulation of the PSV
in the Ajax group is a serious competitor (43.2%) for the group. third place, thus reaching the Europa League. The probability of second place (28.5%) is even greater than the last (24.3%) according to the data. PSV must fight with Benfica for second place, Bayern Munich remains the favorite and AEK Athens the weakest brother. : 4.0%
Space 2: 28.5%
Space 3: 43.2%
Space 4: 24.3%
The simulation of Ajax
Ajax should have seriously considered the elimination in the PSV group. This chance (47.4%) was the biggest. The data suggests an exciting battle with Internazionale for third place (39.1% chance for Inter, 37.4% chance for Ajax). Admittedly, Barcelona is estimated at a lonely height. Tottenham would have been the great contender in second place, although [19199016] Spurs did not fulfill this role yet.
Probabilities (in percentages) of Ajax in the PSV group
Place 1: 1.4%
Place 2: 13.8% [19659009] The place 3 37.4%
Space 4: 47.4%
The final answer of these data: the PSV has hit harder than Ajax in the Champions League . Something they already suspected, especially in Eindhoven after the draw, but where only tonight's game with Tottenham Hotspur counts. And not a match against Benfica.
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