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A new poll reveals that President Donald Trump – who was elected in 2016 by winning the constituency despite the loss of the national popular vote – is in a critical situation with regard to the polls in the main battlefield states likely to tilt the elections in 2020.
Trump's net approval rating is negative and double-digit in the crucial states of Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire and Wisconsin, according to a new Morning Consult survey. Specifically, the president obtained a 42% approval and 54% disapproval rate in Iowa, for a net approval rating of minus 12%; he displays the same numbers in Michigan.
Trump also had a 39% approval rate and a 58% disapproval rate in New Hampshire, with a net approval rating of minus 19%; and it has a 42% approval rate and a 55% disapproval rate in Wisconsin, for a net approval rate of minus 13%.
These are not the only crucial states where Trump's approval rate is under water. In Arizona, he obtained a 45% approval rate and a 51% disapproval rate, for a net approval rate of minus 6%; in North Carolina, he obtained a 46% approval rate and a 50% disapproval rate, for a net approval rate of minus 4%; he achieved a 46% satisfaction rate and 50% disapproval in Ohio, for a net satisfaction rating of minus 4%; and it has a 45% approval rate and a 52% disapproval rate in Pennsylvania, for a net approval rate of minus 7%.
Another Morning Consult survey, released earlier this week, focused on Democrats who could replace Trump in the White House if they won in the 2020 elections. Former Vice President Joe Biden had a Substantial advance on the country with 38% of registered voters, followed by Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with 19%, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 10%, Mayor of South Bend Pete Buttigieg with 7% and Senator Sen. Kamala Harris from California with 7%.
A Fox News poll in mid-May suggested that one or the other of these candidates might pose a threat to Trump during a general election. In a showdown with Biden, Trump scores 11 points (49% to 38%); and running against Sanders, Trump loses 5 points (46% to 41%). However, Trump remains in the margin of error during the clashes against Warren (she dominates from 43% to 41%), Harris (the two candidates are tied at 41%) and Buttigieg (Trump from 41% to 40% ).
Texas is one of the states that has received considerable attention. Trump's approval rating beats, even though he won the red state in the 2016 presidential election by nine percentage points. As Philip Bump of the Washington Post wrote:
Then there is this new poll of Texans by Quinnipiac University. Trump fights against a number of Democrats who run for the party's nomination in 2020. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) Won only four points – and this is the race in which he does his best . Despite his relative success last year, O'Rourke lost three points against Trump. Against Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), The only representative of Trump.
Against the former vice president Joe Biden? Trump loses four points.
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