New Republican poll shows statistical link in Georgia



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Georgia’s Democratic and Republican Senate candidates are in a statistical tie heading into Tuesday’s run-off election, according to a new poll for a Republican super PAC.

Why is this important: In both elections, Democrats took the lead in early voting, pressuring Republicans to increase their turnout on election day to catch up. The tie poll suggests a jump in the races between Republicans David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler and Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock.

In numbers: The Preserve America poll, conducted by Adam Geller, polled 500 likely voters over the weekend and included both cellphones and landlines. The survey had a margin of error of ± 4.38 percentage points.

  • Perdue had 45% of the vote against 46% for Ossoff.
  • Loeffler also had 45% versus 46% for Warnock.

The plot: The poll showed with relief how Democrats built up early support: 54% of respondents said they had already returned their ballots.

  • Among the first voters, Ossoff was in his race on Perdue 54% -36%; and Warnock led Loeffler by a 54% to 37% margin.
  • Among those who did not vote, Perdue led 56% -38%; Loeffler had a 55% to 36% advantage.
  • Participation will be essential in determining the winners and the resulting balance of power in the US Senate.

Be smart: Half of the ballot was conducted after revelations on Sunday afternoon that President Trump called Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and asked him to “find” enough ballots to declare him the winner of the election. November.

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