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First of all, thank you. Second, an apology. Then, some excuses. Finally, the redemption (hopefully) in the form of five new choices. If you do not care about the first three items and just want my choices, feel free to continue scrolling through the screen until Jyn Erso's GIF – and if you do not know who is Jyn Erso, then we will probably not be friends.
Thanks to everyone who did not tweet or email me to inform me that my top five bets for the first week were from 0 to 5. Either nobody reads my Column of the best paris of the week 1 or everyone read it, but was kind enough to understand that bad weeks are coming to everyone, even to someone who scored 49-35-1 with his best weekly weekly bets last. Or maybe some people have read it, but nobody cared really about it. I guess it's a combination of options 1 and 3.
But it was bad. I'm sorry. 0-5 weeks should not happen. But that did it. The Bears lost more than three times against the Packers, the Redskins-Eagles game had more than 45.5 points, the 49ers and the Buccaneers were not combined to score more than 50.5 points, the Seahawks did not covered the 9.5 point gap against the Bengals, and the Panthers did not lose 2.5 points or less against the Rams. Putting 0-5 in real terms – describing how that happened – hurts. That's probably why I've spent every day since Sunday listening to Lana Del Rey's new album.
But in my defense – and here are the excuses – how was I supposed to know that the Panthers would inexplicably fail twice and miss a goal from first base in the first half, making the West Coast team one of the first windows from the coast is the game like the most awake side? How was I supposed to report on the 999 touchdowns that were recalled in the game 49ers-Buccaneers – Not to mention Robbie Gould's 57-yard placement on the crossbar and take-over. One of these days, a field goal will bounce my way. How was I supposed to know that Case Keenum and the Redskins were going to generate 17 points on their first three rounds, which almost completely destroyed the sub-field? How was I supposed to know that Andy Dalton would find a way to throw for 418 yards in Seattle? How was I supposed to know that Mitchell Trubisky would look like the worst quarter of football?
OK, I probably should have seen the Trubisky thing coming in view of I wrote 2,000 words on his problems of inconsistency less than three months ago. I probably should have seen the Dalton thing coming as I talk three times a week with the Bengals fan, John Breech, on the Pick Six podcast, sometimes even more frequently with all of our podcasts. emergency.
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For all kinds of reasons, this 0-5 is actually produced. Now it's time to redeem. It's a long season. Even though I did not record a 0-5 record even once last season, I still have plenty of time for a rebound, but again, I still have plenty of time to sink deeper into the abyss, but I keep it away from the subject. Below, you'll find my top five bets for Week 2, just after one last reminder: I did very well with my selections from last season. I swear I do not do this record!
Last week: 0-5
Last year: 49-35-1
All odds via SportsLine
1. Panthers -6.5 vs. Buccaneers
When in doubt, go with what you trust. And what I believe is that Jameis Winston is not a good quarterback, which I've been saying for a while. Winston looked awful in his debut under Bruce Arians, even against one of the worst junior footballers. At home, the Buccaneers lost 14 points against the 49ers. Winston has launched two pick-six, which makes it easy to understand how and why the Buccaneers lost.
As for the Panthers, they really should have beaten the Rams on Sunday, but their negligence has sentenced them. The good news is that the line is only -6.5 because the Panthers have inexplicably not beaten the Rams.
To be clear, this choice is not an exaggerated reaction to week 1. We must take into account what we saw in week 1 and use what we have learned together with what we have seen all season last, when the Panthers started 6-2 before the Cam. The injury to Newton's shoulder derailed their season and the Buccaneers looked like one of the worst football teams, no matter the quarter-starting player. The Panthers are the best team. They are at home. And it's a short week.
Give me the Panthers to defeat the Buccaneers. If in doubt, trust Jameis Winston to be Jameis Winston. Since 2015, when he entered the league as first overall, no one has launched more interceptions than Winston and his interception rate of 3.12 is significantly higher than all quarters located directly beneath him in the standings.
Most important …
2. Colts +3 in the Titans
Like the Panthers, the Colts were unlucky to lose Week 1. In the overtime loss to the Chargers in Los Angeles, Adam Vinatieri, the biggest kicker in the history of the NFL, missed two goals and an extra point. But what is important is the quality of the look of Jacoby Brissett, who made 77.8% of his passes for 190 yards and two touchdowns without reversing the situation. He also did it against a very good defense.
Meanwhile, the Titans have a small bump after their overwhelming victory over the Browns. The victory was impressive, but the final margin of victory does not describe exactly how the match unfolds. Yes, the Titans deserved to beat the Browns. But no, they did not deserve to win by 30 points. It was a game against 15-13 at the end of the third quarter, then Baker Mayfield completely imploded with three interceptions in the fourth quarter, all of which were turned into Titans' touchdowns. The Titans played well and look like a possible team for the playoffs, but they were not as impressive as the final score (43-13).
At worst, I think the Colts can stay close and emerge with a boost. But I also think that the Colts are better than the Titans and that they are pretty good, even in a world after Andrew Luck, to steal a division game.
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3. Chiefs at Raiders Over 53
The Chiefs 'offensive is still out of the ordinary and the Chiefs' defense still so terrible is not exactly news. Against a good Jaguar defense, the Chiefs offense lost 40 points. Patrick Mahomes had 378 yards and Sammy Watkins had 198 yards and three touchdowns. Against Nick Foles and Gardner Minshew for most of the match, the Chiefs' new defense awarded 26 points. In relief of a wounded Foles, Minshew scored 22 of his 25 goals for 275 yards and two touchdowns. So yes, the Chiefs' defense has still not been repaired, even after changing the defense coordinator and exchanging Dee Ford, Justin Houston and Eric Berry against Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu.
On the other hand, being offensive Raiders is considered breaking news. Against what was supposed to be a good defense against the Broncos, the Raiders scored 24 points. Derek Carr completed 22 of 26 passes for 259 yards. Carr, a quarterback who started the game with an average of 6.7 yards per attempt for his career, averaging 10 yards per attempt against the Broncos.
Most importantly, it was kept clean. One year after clearing 52 bags, the Raiders offensive line allowed for zero sacks and no hits against the likes of Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. Given that Carr has struggled all his career against pressure (real and ghost), the offensive line of Raiders subjecting this dominant to a performance is important. If this continues, Carr could have a bigger season than expected. If you listen to the Pick Six podcast, you probably know how difficult it is for me to admit it. But I can not deny the fact that Carr's numbers began to deteriorate as soon as his protection got worse. If the offensive line plays as well as it did against the Broncos for the rest of the season, the Raiders offensive will be better than many of us assumed.
So, instead of taking the Chiefs to cover a 7.5 point gap in Oakland, where they had just beaten the Raiders last year, I take control. The Chiefs almost always lose about 30 points, and their defense is bad enough to allow the Raiders to get theirs too – even if some can happen in record time.
Last year, the two teams combined for 73 points in Oakland.
4. Cardinals at Ravens Over 46.5
Lamar Jackson can really kick the ball. In Week 1, Jackson completed 85% of his passes for 324 yards, five touchdowns and a perfect 158.3. Yes, Jackson has done all his damage against the Dolphins, a team that already has the stranglehold on the first pick in the draft next year. Yes, Jackson has rarely faced pressure against a terrible defense.
But every time a quarter finishes 85% of his passes for 324 yards, five touchdowns and a perfect score of 158.3, that's impressive. Tearing bad defenses is what good quarters are supposed to do. Maybe Jackson is already a good quarterback. Chandler Jones should be expected to put pressure on Jackson, but I think the Ravens offense is explosive and dangerous enough that they can play enough big games to do their part. They have so many different ways to attack their defenses – do not forget Jackson's ability to run, even though he rarely used it against the Dolphins.
Meanwhile, even after scoring 24 points after halftime against the Lions, the Kliff Kingsbury Cardinals did not convince me that they were going to be a good offense. But they convinced me that they were able to score points when the opposing defense had a big lead and was starting to go backwards.
The Ravens win, but the Cardinals score enough points in the lost time for the group to play.
5. Bengals -2 against 49ers
After spending the entire off season talking about the terrible angst of the Bengals (in part just to get Breech on my nerves, I admit) and after taking the Bengals to be crushed in Seattle, I go up aboard the Bengals train – for this week, anyway. But I take the Bengals -2 not because I believe in them, but because I believe in 49ers even less than I believe in the Bengals.
The 49ers were remarkably lucky to escape with a 14-point road win in Tampa Bay, being offered two pick-six by Winston. On the other side of the ball, Jimmy Garoppolo looked almost as bad as Winston against the worst football defense a year ago.
As for the Bengals, they probably should have beaten the Seattle Seahawks. But because they did not do it, they are favored only by two points. At the very least, one has the impression that it should be Bengals -3.
I will take the home team that looked better in the week 1. Ignore their records. The Bengals were better than the 49ers in the first week.
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