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On June 14, 2014, Jonas Gahr Støre became the new leader of the Labor Party. The party's support was about 37.6%
Støre has made good progress over the next six months, reaching 43% in January 2015.
Four years after that he took the party head, the situation is completely different.
– Very serious
In the fall of 2017, the vote at the polls of the AP thought that he was going to win, with a support of 27.4%. In 2018, they seem to have stabilized at just under 24%.
– The situation today is very serious for the Labor Party. Jonas Gahr Støre and the session management have a busy year to show that it is possible to create a political and prosperous surge, says Aftenposten's editor-in-chief, Harald
Stanghelle, for TV 2.
He thinks there are opportunities for Ap to get up under Støre. But it depends on whether the party can be offensive and whether the various factions of the party are able to reduce internal conflicts.
The crucial test for the future of the sister as a party leader becomes the local choice and I have little confidence that something is going on around the party leadership before that. Municipal elections may be the choice where Støre appears as the one who managed to rebuild the party
– Things Can Change Quickly
Stanghelle therefore thinks that Latter's future will be largely controlled by the way the party will do it in the local elections of 2019. He says: also that he will be interesting to see what happens to the government parties that are going to agree on a state budget,
Ap.
– Today, there is no call from the Labor Party to replace the leader of the party. Moreover, for the first time since the war, no obvious candidate in the party leadership took over, Stanghelle said.
Assistant Hadia Tajik is a natural name in this regard. If Støre had retired as party leader today, Stanghelle doubts that Ap succeeds in rallying behind Tajik.
– But things can change quickly in politics. A year ago, everyone was confident that Støre would become Prime Minister after the elections, so much can happen in a short time.
Electoral expert Anders Todal Jenssen believes that Støre is only one symptom of the Labor Party's challenges, the problem is that the Labor Party fails to make a policy that clearly separates them from the right, says Jenssen.
TV 2 political commentator, Aslak Eriksrud, agrees with Stanghelle. that Ap has no clear candidate to take over if Støre was to give up now. The only thing that could be relevant was Trond Giske, says Eriksrud.
– But he's out of fashion after the MeToo rides this winter. Therefore, many in the party realize that they only have Støre and have to bet that he is able to get up and part. One also realizes that a new power struggle is not what the party needs.
Eriksrud also agrees that Hadia Tajik will have trouble gathering the party as it is the case now.
– But she's 35 and has the time. She is also controversial internally as a result of her role in handling the case against Giske, he says
– will see red arrows
In previous municipal elections, Ap was almost clean. In 2019, however, Eriksrud thinks that local elections will be difficult for the party and that they will lose more seats.
– When they did so well three years ago, they will see red arrows on the night of the 2019 election, he says.
TV 2's political commentator believes that the discussion of Stærre's leadership role in the party will depend on the results of the elections and the subsequent internal evaluation. When Støre became a party leader in 2014, according to Eriksrud, he had a job. That was at
to get the Labor Party in the government in 2017.
– It failed. In this way, it would be surprising that he was seven years old to raise the game, he adds, adding:
– He struggles to bring out the part of the shed in which they are located but the party has no one who is willing to take over the management work, which gives it more chances.
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