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Raise your hand. We reacted too quickly and too harshly to Nashville last week in joint practices.
And really, how could we not? Jakobi Meyers was the # 1 option ahead of Gunner Olszewski, Braxton Berrios, Dontrelle Inman, Ryan Davis and Damoun Patterson.
Since Friday afternoon, Julian Edelman has returned from the list of non-football related injuries, Josh Gordon has been reinstated under certain conditions, Demaryius Thomas has been excited about the list of physically unable to play and Phillip Dorsett, N'Keal Harry and Maurice Harris have resumed training. Edelman was expected. Gordon and Thomas were not.
And maybe we're about to jump again. But all of a sudden, we are rather satisfied with the depth of the wide receiver of the Patriots. And there are numbers to reinforce that trust.
We have established a five person receiver depth chart for each NFL team. It is based on that player's approximate value score – a Pro Football reference metric – from his or her last season or an approximate value intended for beginners. We have formulated our projections by averaging the annual average of the novice round of each broad catcher drafted in the last 10 years. We have also projected large undeveloped receivers using this same system.
Here are our averages:
First round: 5
Second round: 4
Third round: 2.5
Fourth round: 1.9
Fifth round: 1.8
Sixth round: .7
Seventh round: .5
Unveiled: .7
This system is flawed, but it's the best we can design. This does not account for end-of-season injuries, and this will inevitably underestimate teams with younger recipient bodies and overestimate those who are part of a more experienced group. Younger players will generally improve and older players will get worse. Things tend to get worse, though. In Arizona, Christian Kirk was probably underestimated, while Larry Fitzgerald was probably overestimated. Even with D.J. Moore and Chris Hogan in Carolina, Tyler Boyd and A.J. Vert in Cincinnati, Emmanuel Sanders and Courtland Sutton in Denver, etc.
We averaged the audiovisual resources of the three main and five main receivers in each team. We also rated the AV of the fifth best receiver of each team.
The Patriots – using Edelman (9), Gordon (7), Thomas (5), Harry (5) and Dorsett (3) – are tied for having the fifth strongest starting group and having the fourth best body in the standings general. Dorsett, based on AV, is one of the NFL's top three NFL receivers.
Before the return of Gordon and Thomas, the Patriots had the 19th and 19th best corps.
If that interests you, the Los Angeles Rams, Atlanta Falcons, Kansas City Chiefs and New Orleans Saints are the only teams to have a better start than the Patriots. Only the Rams, Chiefs and Falcons had a better overall body.
The Rams have an unbelievably strong top three at Robert Woods, Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp. The Falcons, Chiefs and Saints are (of course) skewed by the best players, Julio Jones, Tyreek Hill and Michael Thomas, respectively.
In addition, the Washington Redskins, San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins have the weakest entries, while the Arizona Redskins, New York Jets, Dolphins and Cardinals have the lowest overall entries. weaker.
Little is guaranteed in New England. Gordon is still on NFI and has not played a full season of 16 games since his rookie year. Thomas returns from a ripped Achilles, and neither he nor Dorsett are guaranteed to be on the list. Deion Branch and Aaron Dobson, only two receivers of the team recruited in the Patriots scored the approximate value of five for Harry since Bill Belichick became head coach in 2000. But the advantage of the group is high with all developments from this week.
Thumbnail photo via Steve Mitchell / USA TODAY Sports Images
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