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The Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) managed to to maintain its votes in the elections of June 24 thanks to some supporters of the Party for Justice and Development (AKP) who voted for the nationalist party, according to a leading pollster.
"The movement [voting] took place in the block [AKP-MHP] not on the other side" Bekir Ağırdır, The Director General of the Istanbul-based research company, Konda, told the Hürriyet Daily News
"The only move to the other side was from the MHP to the İYİ (Good) party, but the MHP maintained its votes as it became the address of those who were not satisfied. from the AKP but who did not want to vote for the block of opposition, "said Ağırdır
. checks and balances "at the MHP, according to the pollster
You argue that Turkey is divided into three and that these elections produced the same political map.
On one side it There is a geography where people are more socio-economically developed, with a secular lifestyle that emphasizes the freedoms and rule of law, which want the state to play less of a role in the economy because They have consolidated their own economic dynamics, they represent between 25 and 35%.
On the other hand, there is another geography where people try to urbanize, who need of public services and investments because their own economic and educational dynamics are weak and give priority to the well-being of the household rather than freedom.This represents about 60% of the population.There is geography Kurdish citizens, about 60 to 65% of whom voted t for the People's Democracy Party (HDP).
You claim that the elections are only one enumeration these three hold to their groups. The CHP claims that there was an unfair campaign period; does it mean that if it was right, the result would have been the same?
We would not have seen a different picture if the CHP had talked about building a common life or dream for the future encompassing all three groups. 19659004] Was not it expressed by the presidential candidate CHP Muharrem İnce?
He said, "We are not your enemy." He did not say "we will build the future together". will come to power and I will not do anything against you. "This is not enough, lay voters suffer from the feeling of losing and they only realize that they are a minority."
They gave them that confidence, but you must inspire confidence in the other group who fears the rhetoric of those who vote for the idea.The rhetoric in the streets at gatherings in Istanbul and Izmir frightened them.If Anthony wants to liberate the nation from his identity conflict, he has to win the trust of the other to build a common life because there is a common space between them where the common denominator is education and the rule of law.
What are your opinions on allegations of fraud? The rise of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) in the East is controversial
We are going to look at all the numbers for each ballot box in certain regions. increase of 100,000 (votes for the MHP We should not focus on ratios, they could be misleading. After all, if there is an increase in a village from 2,000 to 3,000, that means a 50% increase, but that might not show a significant increase. It could be the votes of the security personnel. However, we will look at the ballot boxes where there has been a drastic increase.
Suspicions about results are due to perception rather than reality. In our poll of June 10, 46% said they had doubts about the election night. Fifty-seven percent said the elections would not be fair.
One in four AKP supporters said the elections were unfair, one in ten AKP advocates said that illegal incidents would occur on election night. Technical difficulties have come to add to this negative perception. Nearly one million people staged that night and the fair electoral platform (set up by four opposition parties), as well as NGOs, must produce a report to concretely convince the public fraud or not.
Some still have trouble understanding how his supporters continue to vote for President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan despite all these economic problems.
They can not save themselves from the prisoners of identity politics and polarization. Erdoğan manages to manipulate his constituents. That's why we went to the polls four times in five years. Every election turns to problems of identity. Instead of debating real issues like the economy, unemployment, debates evolve around "should we give up on Erdoğan or not?" When the debate turns, even people who have begun to look at the situation are going to talk about it. AKP critically can not get out. Those who did not vote for the AKP voted for the MHP but did not join the other bloc
Some claim that Erdoğan l 39; takes away because his constituents are completely ignorant.
This is unfair. Their level of education may be lower than the national average of Turkey, but they do not vote for Erdoğan out of ignorance.
Do you think they also used a strategic vote? They like Erdoğan, so they voted for him but to reflect their dissatisfaction with some of the issues that they voted for the MHP instead of the AKP.
This is exactly what happened. The (voting) movement took place within the bloc but not outside. The only outside move was from the MHP to the IY (Good) Party. But the MHP has maintained its votes because it has become the address of those who are unhappy with the AKP but who do not want to enter the other bloc.
Do AKP voters receive the role of checker and counterweight? MHP?
Even though they did not express it like that, it is ultimately the role given to the MHP
You said that the voters of the United States AKP were afraid of the other block? What are they afraid of exactly?
The Conservatives are afraid of losing their current earnings, such as being able to send their daughter wearing a headscarf to school or having her work in public institutions. While in the past they were fighting to say "we are here too" against the laity, they now have the impression that their entire lives will be dominated and that they are also afraid of losing the desire to govern the country. They tasted power and they like it. The status they have acquired in society and the economic interests make them happy. So currently, the fear goes beyond a simple anxiety of not being able to send their daughter to school
What do you expect from the AKP- alliance MHP?
This will continue for a while. Two critical sentences were expressed by MHP: We are the critical party and we have been given the role of checks and balances. This is the first time that the leader of the MHP, Devlet Bahçeli, uses the phrase "checks and balances". This is a message to Erdoğan. He says, "I will not do everything you want with me."
WHO IS BEKİR AĞIRDIR?
Bekir Ağırdır is the managing director of Istanbul-based research company Konda.
was born in 1956 in Çal, Denizli, after graduating from the Department of Business Administration at the Technical University of Ankara (ODTÜ).
Ağırdır worked in the computer service of the Republican People's Party (CHP) between 1979 and 1980, then in Bilsan Bilgisayar Malzemeleri A.Ş. between 1980 and 1984. Later, he worked as CEO of Meteksan LLC. and Pırıntaş Bilgisayar Malzemeleri ve Basım San. A.Ş., as well as Deputy Director General of Atılım Kağıt ve Defter Sanayi A.Ş.
Between 2003 and 2005, Ağırdır worked at the History Foundation of Turkey, first as coordinator and then as general manager.
He is also the founder of the Democratic Republican Program.
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