The developer boom in Poland – free 50,000 offers

According to experts, our country needs at least 12 years to solve the problem of the shortage of information technology specialists, according to experts. Meanwhile, the deficit of programmers in other countries of the European Union is decreasing. According to the latest data, in 2020, this will not be 1 million and 600 000. vacant.

The official distribution continues to disseminate data from the report published by Empirica for the European Commission five years ago. The forecasts presented at the time indicated that by 2020, there would be close to one million programmers in the Union alone. These estimates are no longer valid, but the updated news is still worrying.

– We asked the European Commission for the latest data and it turned out that the demand for programmers in the European Union countries had decreased. Currently there are 600,000 vacant people. However, that does not mean fewer computer stations. The reduced deficit reflects the positive effects of training programmers. The number of jobs is increasing and, at the same time, more and more people are joining the sector – says Marcin Kosedowski, head of marketing at the online programming school Kodilla.com.

New forecast for Poland

In Poland, the deficit is estimated at 50 000 for 5 years. people and this has to stay until 2020. The European Commission has not provided new estimates for Poland. Kodilla.com experts have prepared their own forecasts based on market observations. According to estimates, even in a very optimistic scenario, it is only around 2030 that a gap could be filled in Poland due to the shortage of programmers – provided that the demand from companies for Polish programmers, very respected in the world and still much less than in Western countries.

In turn, if the West absorbs our specialists and it overlaps with the demographic group, resulting in a decline in the number of computer science graduates, Poland's deficit may worsen and never be eradicated. Demand for programmers in Poland by 2030 (optimistic forecasts) Demand for programmers in Poland from here 2030 (pessimistic forecast)

Statistics do not lie – we have too few graduates

According to data received at the request of Kodilla.com by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education, as of 2014, the information technology-related departments in Poland leave no more than 12,000 people. graduates from state and non-state universities. – In the West, the education system is much more modern than in Poland. In addition to traditional universities, there are vocational schools and programming schools. At home, more and more people are using bootcamps, but that 's only a drop in the ocean' s needs. In the past two years, more than 2,000 people have enrolled in our courses. future programmers. If you take into account graduates of all programming bootcamps in Poland, there would be about 6,000. This is not enough yet – comments Marcin Kosedowski.

In Poland, most IT jobs are created

Emppirica's experts admit that efforts to fill the big IT gap are beginning to bear fruit. Politicians and education officials have been interested in the gap in the industry. According to data from the European Commission, it is only in Poland that the number of computer specialists has increased by 15% over the past four years. (from 393,000 to 452,000) and, over the next four years, it will increase by 18%, much faster than in Spain (+ 12%) or the United Kingdom (+ 10%).

The EU report says that Poland is a country where, next to France and Portugal, the largest number of jobs in the IT sector will be created over the next two years.

Who would fill them?

Certainly not graduates of higher education because they are not there, nor elderly people, because everyone already has a job. Companies will have to hire beginners or train them themselves. Aviva recently conducted such an experiment by re-qualifying people who have worked in completely different departments to fill computer positions up to now, including: finance, administration, HR or call center. Rafał Frątczak, Director of IT Application Development at Aviva, explains about the transformation of his employees: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uvx4IASsE9A.

The company Empirica, which has drawn up the latest reports for the European Commission, points out that whatever programmatic deficit forecasts are confirmed, demand will continue to grow. As a result, people from non-IT environments who are not yet connected to programming should be able to close the gap.

– According to the European Commission, one-third of Polish companies are currently finding it difficult to find IT staff. But our observation of the market shows that the deficit is much larger. Recruiters offer higher and higher rates, candidates can choose from existing offers. In addition, new businesses are being created and new vacancies are being created. As you can see, this situation will not change, at least for the next few years. Therefore, if you are considering a career change, now is the time to do it. – summarizes Marcin Kosedowski.

Source: Kodilla.com