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Analysts at Credit Agricole calculated that every Sunday with a trade ban reduced the dynamics of real sales by about 1 point. percent. Knowing that we had two or three Sundays with a trade ban each month, it is estimated that the sales momentum over this period averaged 2 to 3 points lower. percent. only in a scenario in which every Sunday would be commercial. – In the months when there were two or three Sundays, the impact of the new regulation was considerable – commented Jakub Borowski, chief economist at Crédit Agricole.
How much did it convert to money? In 2017, all retail sales in Poland exceeded 810 billion zlotys, on the basis of this figure we can deduce 2 to 3 percentage points. monthly retail sales are about 1.5 to 2 billion PLN! Experts point out, however, that the biggest disruption of the trade ban was caused in the first months of implementation, before households became accustomed to the new reality.
However, the impact of the Sunday trading ban has been different across sectors. "The main negative impact (…) of the commercial ban has been found in the case of sales of consumer electronics, household appliances, furniture and cars," write Credit experts Agricultural. At the same time, they point out that the new regulations could benefit from online stores and service companies, in particular from the catering sector. Unable to do their shopping on Sunday, the Poles more often used the restaurant that day.
Source: Crédit Agricole, GUS
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