The political crisis of Europe in Europe, explained

Has the fight of German migrants been solved?

Maybe, but probably not. [LundidernierMmeMerkelaannounceduncompromisL'GermanywouldestablishcampslongtheTracianbeltforhousingsecondarymigrantswhichtheStatuteswouldwantdiscoveredAnyreventedecreatedasatemporarystateinanotherEuropeanUnion(thinkItalielaGrècel'Spain)willbeexpulsedtowardscountries

On the face of it, the border would otherwise be open. But no one knows how the German authorities would check the documents of each arrival without effectively re-imposing a hard border.

The agreement is subject to the acceptance of the third member of the ruling coalition of Mrs. Merkel: the center-left Social Democratic Party, which has already criticized plans for their "camps". mass internment ". If they reject the agreement, it could force Merkel to propose a totally different compromise option. Or maybe the government will collapse

What happens if Germany imposes border controls?

Here are four probable short-term results, beyond the consequences for migrants and refugees taken in the camps:

) Possible end of the era of the open borders of Europe . Austrian leaders now talk about securing their own "southern borders", and others will likely follow, using the German agreement as a fig leaf. (Ms. Merkel can hardly reprimand them for following her example.) Borderless travel within the union, which has been the rule and not the exception, could become the exception and not the rule. In other words, it could end with all but the name.

(2) Racial profiling at European borders. Unless the German authorities set up mandatory border control points at every rail and road crossing with Austria – a gigantic undertaking – they will have to carry out selective sorting. In other words, there will most likely be racial profiling, in which whites will cross borders freely, but others will be more likely to be arrested.

(3) A political shift to the right. Ms Merkel will contribute to making nativism, which she has long opposed, an establishment post. Social Democrats are likely to lose significantly, further eroding the center-left of Germany. If they disagree with the agreement, they could trigger new elections, in which polls suggest that they will lose a lot. If they agree to an agreement that is supposedly contrary to all that they defend, they will demonstrate their own irrelevance.

(4) Victory for the nativists. The German far-right party, Alternative for Germany, may not be in power, but this deal would show the influence of the nativists on politics. They led the conversation and take all the credit for the case. It may not be the last time.