Polls suggest Sanders could be underestimated



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Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersHarry Reid: "The Decriminalization of Border Crossings Should Not Top the List" The Exhaustion of Trump's Illusions of Democrats Warren Proposes a Plan to Repeal the 1994 Law on Organized Crime by Biden PLUS (I-Vt.) Could be underestimated in the race for the Democratic nomination for the presidency, according to a series of new polls released last week.

Polls show Sanders is firmly anchored in the lead pack of the race with the former vice president Joe BidenJoe BidenHarry Reid: "Decriminalization of Borders Should Not Top the List" Warren Proposes Plan to Repeal Biden Panel's 1994 Crime Act: Jill Biden's Campaign Message MORE and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenHarry Reid: "Decriminalization of border crossings should not be top of the list" Warren Proposes Plan to Repeal Biden Panel's 1994 Crime Act: Jill Biden's Campaign Message MORE (D-Mass.) – and that there is some distance between these three candidates and the rest of the group.

Overall, the poll points out that at this point Biden is the favorite of the race.

But the surveys give Sanders much hope, which has been largely overshadowed in recent months by Warren's lively campaign. The poll revealed that, given his grassroots fundraising and organization, Sanders would be in the running and had a good chance of winning.

"He has the money, the infrastructure of the campaign and an intense supporter base," said a Democratic strategist. "Does he have a difficult path to nomination? Of course, all candidates do it. But has it been neglected so far? Absolutely. Of all the candidates, he is the one you can say without hesitation. "

An analysis of Pew Research revealed that Sanders wins more black voters than Warren, although she doubles the white voter. Sanders has a low point advantage over Warren in the Hispanic voters poll.

The two progressives drag Biden among the black and Hispanic voters and, unless it changes, the former vice president is likely to win the nomination. But the Pew poll also shows that many of these voters are undecided.

Warren is ahead of Sanders among four-year graduates and four-year university graduates, while Sanders has an advantage over Warren with a university or high school education or less.

This is a point on which the Sanders team insisted that their candidate is appealing to voters different from Warren's.

"Their bases are really not very extensive," Jeff Sand's campaign advisor to TheHill.TV said Monday. "Its base is much more diverse, much more working. His base is much more educated and so they are not really competing for the same group of voters. "

More than half of Warren's supporters identify themselves as "very liberal" or "liberal" – 35% and 20% respectively – while only 7% describe themselves as moderate or conservative Democrats.

In the Pew poll, 10% of Sanders supporters were identified as moderate or conservative Democrats.

Warren holds the largest margin among all the candidates among the graduates with a postgraduate degree. The Pew study reveals that Sanders enjoys significant support among four-year degree holders – 14% – but more of his constituents have not graduated.

In the race for money, Sanders has gathered more than any other candidate this year and is poised to become the first presidential candidate to reach the one million donors. It has $ 27 million in the bank, which is also the best in the field, and a recent New York Times analysis revealed that Sanders' donors are more geographically diverse than any other candidate.

New polls released this week showed Warren and Sanders, as well as Biden, beat Trump in face-to-face clashes. Such polls are important since Biden's campaign claims he is the best candidate to face Trump.

An Emerson University poll released Tuesday revealed that Sanders and Biden were leading Trump by 10 points in Colorado, while Warren led the president by 7 points.

Contrary to reports that Sanders has lost ground in the polls, several recent surveys have shown that Sanders' support was stable, even as other candidates rose and fell around him.

A Morning Consult poll released on Tuesday revealed Biden was 31 percent nationally, with Sanders firmly in second place at 20 percent, followed by 15-year-old Warren.

A CNN-SSRS poll released Tuesday revealed Biden at 29%, followed by Sanders at 15% and Warren at 14%.

While Warren sought to claim her status as the first problem-based candidate, CNN's investigation revealed that Sanders was the only leading candidate to better question electors who favor eligibility.

Warren attracts a crowd of voters, and his leadership among the Democratic Party's most liberal voters could propel him to victory in Iowa.

But Sanders remains in the thick of it in the early voting countries.

A Gravis Marketing poll released last week found Sanders topping New Hampshire, the country's leading state, with 21 percent support, followed by Biden at 15. Most polls indicate that Sanders was in second place in New Hampshire. has been steady near the top and its support averages 19.3% in the Granite State, according to the RealClearPolitics average.

Sanders won New Hampshire Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonL "Trumps Trump Democracy Lies Out" Poll: Trump drags three Democrats 10 points into Colorado Moderate support marks this year's Democratic primary PLUS in 2016 after a bit loss in Iowa.

Part of Sanders' challenge is due to his lack of support among older Democrats, who tend to be more moderate but vote more. According to the Pew Research survey, only 4% of voters aged 65 and over said they support him in the primaries. Warren and Biden, meanwhile, attracted 16% and 41% support, respectively, among these voters.

"He has a strong campaign in terms of volunteers, staff and money," said Andrew Feldman, Democratic strategist. "He'll stay around for a long time, but he needs to find a way to expand his strong base of support. It's great that it stays stable, while others like Harris or Buttigieg lose their support. But to beat Biden and hold Warren back, you have to grow, and the central question of his campaign is to know if he can do it. "

Sanders' critics have long argued that his progressivism – and his adherence to the democratic socialist label – will isolate more moderate voters and will hardly guarantee a second term for Trump.

The Sanders team rejects this narrative. They think that they can also get Biden votes, although the campaign of the former vice president does not seem to worry that Sanders, more liberal, take it. Biden seems focused on Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisHarry Reid: "Decriminalization of border posts should not top the list" Warren Proposes Plan to Repeal Biden Sanders' 1994 Crime Act Leading Democratic Poll in Colorado MORE, which in a new CNN poll was beating at 5%.

A veteran Democratic pollster Mark Mellman, an editorialist for The Hill, said the challenge for Sanders is that it can be difficult for a world-renowned candidate to increase his support.

"There is no doubt that he is a serious candidate in this race and that he has a real chance of winning the nomination," said Mellman. "But he's also one of the best known, he's been around the track before, his name is recognized as as high or higher than most others, and it can be harder to develop when you is also known. "

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