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Women in the suburbs of some areas of Swing House want the near majority of the laws more stringent firearms, revealed a new survey conducted by a republican firm. In fact, the prevention of gun violence has surpassed health care as the most important issue for these women, including independents.
But following two recent shootings in El Paso (Texas) and Dayton (Ohio), Congress and President Donald Trump show little sign of action to adopt basic legislation to reduce shooting, including included a universal bipartisan bill on background checks the most popular measure among women surveyed.
For the first time reported by James Hohmann of The Washington Post, the public opinion poll commissioned by the Republican Main Street Partnership surveyed 1,000 women in five congressional districts: Colorado's sixth, Kansas's third, the ninth of North Carolina, the first in Pennsylvania and the tenth of Virginia, was personally affected by widespread gun violence. Colorado's Sixth Congressional District, for example, is home to Aurora, where 12 people were killed by a gunman in the movie theater in 2012. It is also close to Columbine High School, the site of the 1999 massacre.
The survey found that a vast majority of women surveyed wanted Congress to pass several gun control measures; In addition to 90% of people in favor of a universal bill, 76% of women surveyed also said that they wanted the Congress to ban the purchase and use of semi-automatic weapons such as AK-47 and AR-15.
Although the priorities of these women may change by November 2020, none of this is good news for Republicans in states and battlefield districts.
Suburban women were a force to be reckoned with in 2018; they were a key electoral group that had blunted congressional Republicans and helped propel Democrats to their blue wave in the House. Republicans want to get them back before the 2020 presidential election, but persistent inaction on gun control legislation could make it a difficult affair for a group that wants congressional results.
Suburban women worry about gun violence and want Congress to do something
The women interviewed by Public Opinion Strategies supported a wide range of laws aimed at reducing gun violence beyond universal background checks. This bill received support from 90% of all women surveyed and 85% from those who identify themselves as independent. Other measures supported by women include:
- A measure that would require a waiting period of 48 hours between the time a person buys a firearm and the time when they are able to take possession of that firearm. 88% of women and 89% of independent women have the same opinion.
- A measure known as the "Red Flag Law," which allows law enforcement officials to temporarily take possession of firearms from people who may pose a danger to themselves or others. 84% of women and 85% of independent women have the same opinion.
- A measure prohibiting the purchase and use of semi-automatic assault weapons such as AK-47s and AR-15s. 76% of women and self-employed supported this initiative.
- A measure prohibiting the sale and possession of large or large ammunition magazines, allowing certain firearms to fire more than 10 bullets before the user reloads. 72% of women and 65% of independent women have the same opinion.
73% of women felt that these proposals would make their communities safer. But even after more deaths in Dayton and El Paso, the chances of successfully passing a universal background check – the most popular proposition among these women – do not look good. Although Trump initially stated that he was confident that he could convince Republicans to support universal legislation on background checks after the shooting, he seems to have backtracked. At his last rally for the campaign, Trump highlighted recent mass shootings against mental health. This week, he told reporters: "Do not forget that we already have a lot of background checks."
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell did not respond to Speaker Nancy Pelosi's call to bring the Senate back early after the parliamentary recess in August. consider a bill on the verification of universal antecedents already adopted by the House in February. McConnell said the processing of background checks would be at the forefront of the Senate's legislative agenda when he returned to Capitol Hill, but he has not yet endorsed a specific bill.
Trump's retreat on the need for a universal background check bill could kill the little momentum that exists; Congressional Republicans in the past have been reluctant to accept bills that Trump does not approve.
On Monday, Pelosi again called on the Senate to immediately pass the House bill, rather than wait until the break.
"I pray that the president will listen to the 90% of the American population who support universal background checks," Pelosi said in a statement. "Once again, I call on the President to bring Senator McConnell back to Washington so that she immediately adopts a bipartisan law passed by the House of Commons to fight this epidemic and save lives."
Trump scrutinizes underwater with these women
None of this is likely to help Republicans want to court suburban women in 2020. President Trump has long had problems with these voters, and this is clear from the Public Opinion Strategies poll.
Only 35% of women in the surveyed districts approve of Trump's work, while 61% disapprove (55% disagree "strongly"). Trump is even worse at women who identify as independent; 32% approve, while 63% disapprove.
These women also tend to favor Democrats in their House of Representatives district when voting on the generic ballot, which shows that public opinion continues to favor Democrats, at least in these five alternative districts.
Suburban women see Trump Christine Matthews, a Republican pollster, told Doxan Matthews of Vox after the 2018 session. "The Trump presidency is a crisis of democracy, our values and our morality. This makes women physically sick. That's the word they use all the time – the word is "nauseous". "
As Scott wrote, suburban voters rebelled against Republicans and Trump in 2018 for several reasons, including gun violence.
Some are certainly personal to Trump. But the president has infected the entire Republican Party. [Former Pennsylvania Rep. Ryan] Costello described these suburban voters in three words – "they want results" – and lamented that Republicans remained steadfast on issues such as gun control and climate change.
Flash forward to 2019, and these voters still do not see a lot of results on these issues. It is not for lack of trying on the part of the Democrats, but McConnell declared himself "the worst reaper" of the democratic legislation on Capitol Hill. The midterms were a warning sign for the Republicans, but they do not show many signs of a change in behavior.
This could cause problems for them in 2020.
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