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Hours separate the world from a major event, which is the US presidential election, and what it will result from, and as many around the world await these elections, and what they will result from, the Arab region comes first. rank of those who anticipate, because American foreign policy has a strong influence on many issues. The region, and Democrats and Republicans have different views on the management of this policy in the Arab region, although they do not differ in general terms.
Speaking of who the Arab region prefers to win, between the American presidential candidates, the Republican “Donald Trump” or the Democrat “Joe Biden”, we must distinguish, as many analysts say, between two desires, the desire to the Arab street on the one hand, and the desire of the regimes on the other hand, in particular Those who have forged solid alliances, with outgoing President Donald Trump during his first term.
Speaking of the desire of the streets, a recent opinion poll, conducted by the British Foundation “YouGov”, showed that the largest percentage of Arabs prefer the victory of the Democratic candidate, “Joe Biden”, to his Republican counterpart, “Donald Trump”. Poll results indicate that Biden He was well ahead of Trump. Of the 3,097 people polled in 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa, about 39% preferred Biden, while only 12% chose Trump.
However, the results also indicate that when respondents were asked about the best candidate for the Arab year, the majority (49%) said none of the candidates would fit that description, and yet Biden is still a better. choice that Trump “According to the poll results, the French news agency quoted the head of the YouGov polling institute, Stephen Shakespeare, as saying:” If the Arab world had chosen the next president, Biden would have won an overwhelming majority . “
Observers say Trump’s image on the Arab street may have been severely damaged by several stages, including his decision to move the Israeli embassy to Jerusalem, as well as his support for annexation. from the Syrian Golan Heights to Israel, and his support in the end result of all Israeli positions, but he may have gotten some support in the poll results, for his actions. The abolition of the nuclear deal, which was concluded by his democratic predecessor, “Barack Obama”, with Iran, which has been welcomed by many, especially in the Gulf region.
However, Arab street opinion certainly does not represent all opinion, and the picture may be different for Arab regimes, especially those who have built strong alliances with Trump, and received great support from him for their policies, especially internal, unlike his predecessor Barack Obama, Trump supported his allies among the Arab leaders. From Egypt to Saudi Arabia to the United Arab Emirates, in the face of allegations of human rights violations, he has also shown no interest in movements calling for change and democracy in the region. .
The pro-Trump right-wing newspaper Israel Hayom quoted an Emirati diplomat in a high-ranking statement as saying, “Our eyes are on the election in the United States. We hope Trump wins, but we prepare for the possibility of a new president entering the Oval Room of the White House. “
The newspaper also quoted a senior official from Manama, describing him as “close to ruling circles in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi” as saying that “there is a fear in the axis of moderate Arab countries that Trump is being defeated and that the victory of the Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, lead to a change of policy in the Middle East “. “.
While the broad outline of US foreign policy does not change much if Democratic candidate “Joe Biden” wins, many observers believe the practice of that policy could change a lot if Biden wins. U.S. support for Saudi Arabia’s campaign in Yemen several years ago has led voices to reject it in Congress, due to the humanitarian crisis facing the Yemeni people, as well as to alleviate the excessive indulgence enjoyed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
At a time when some human rights and democracy activists in the Arab world announce a major change in the interests of democracy in the region, should Joe Biden win, analysts believe that such expectations should not be exaggerated, and they feel that Biden’s political history does not include any concerns on his part about supporting democracy in the Middle East, and that the man may not be interested in it. dossier, as democracy activists expect, except within the limits of the realization of American interests.
Which do you prefer, President of the United States, Trump or Biden? Why?
Why do some on the Arab street tend to support Trump’s victory for a second term?
Why do some support Biden’s victory?
Who do you think is concerned about Biden’s victory among the Arab regimes? Why?
Which regimes want Trump to stay in power? Why?
Do you expect a change in US foreign policy towards the Middle East if Joe Biden wins?
We will discuss these and other topics with you in the Monday November 2 episode of the Dialogue Point program at 16:06 GMT.
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