After the prophecy of Prince Hisham Al-Alawi: will Biden’s success revive the project of “democratization” of the Arab world?



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Muhammad Al-Jumaili

Although Biden has denied that his administration was a third version of the Obama era, some people do not confuse him with the slightest doubt that the Democratic president, who has won the presidency of Trump hard, will continue the plan to democratize the Arab world. , or what is called the Arab Spring, and give it a new spirit.

The opportunity to revive this debate is the statement of Prince Hisham Al-Alawi on the occasion of the arrival of the Democrats at the White House in which he declared that “the United States of America is supposed to revive a new spirit in the revolutions of the Arab Spring ”(Hespress), and the words of the man are no joke and he is the expert in the corridors of governance In the country of Uncle Sam, he anticipated the occurrence of these gifts before their time, and many of the falsely-labeled pre and post Arab Spring articles have been closely documented in this section.

The question in this context is whether the bet on a second wave of the Arab Spring has become realistic? Will Arab monarchies allow an earthquake to return to the Arab region that hit the first wave of its republics? Was the official Arab trampoline system and what came with it? Reply In terms of rights and tightening the grip later in the time of the pandemic under emergency laws, sheltering popular gifts, or has it created and consolidated the state of rejection and discord between peoples and regimes?

But this saying – that of the researcher – is not shared by many experts and researchers for the following considerations:

1- The extent of the damage and chaos caused by Trump, which will continue until the date of the “transfer”, will make the priorities different.

2- The Qatari-Turkish project at the end of the Trump era is no longer acceptable in the West, and Biden’s statements against Erdogan indicate the end of the Muslim Brotherhood’s spring season.

3- Experts believe that the Middle East region is no longer in the circle of American priorities, without neglecting the role of emerging poles.

4- The nature of the alliances that some Gulf Arab states have forged with the decline of Trump’s star, and the interweaving of their relationship with the Zionist entity will help immunize them (or at least it is believed) from all the wild fluctuations that can affect the Arab region.

5- On the other hand, regimes that have adopted the iron fist will face a difficult reality and possibly firm action from the democratic administration (Biden statements regarding the Khashoggi affair), to the Yemeni file, and to the human rights files in many countries …

In summary, while some call for little optimism about the important role Israel plays in immunizing moderate countries from a deadly evil that is plaguing the regime’s remnants in the raging sea of ​​chaos, it is likely that the Biden administration will not seek a wave of fierce unrest for the foreseeable future, as some imagine, on the other hand. The regimes that emerged in their horrible reality during Trump’s time will not continue to pursue bad policies and will try to appear more moderate.

Point of view

Collective and media actor in Spain

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