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Infection and death rates from the novel Corona virus vary between countries in the Arab region and the world, and between the Arab Gulf States and countries in North Africa, due to many factors related to the disease. environment, genetics, immunity and others.
Since the start of its epidemic in the Chinese city of Wuhan at the end of last December, the number of cases of the Corona viral epidemic in Arab countries at the end of Saturday has reached at least 120,868, while the number of deaths over the same period reached approximately 2024.
If we compare the Middle East region to Western countries, especially the United States, this number, in both parts, will be a very small percentage of the estimated global cases during the same period, up to 4,101,536 cases and 280,435 deaths.
Put another way, the incidence rate in Arab countries is estimated at 2.9% of all cases, compared to 0.72 deaths, worldwide, according to the worldmeters website.
Epidemiologist Dr Imad Bouzo believes that “this decrease may be due to reasons related to immunity, or the environment, and perhaps genetic factors … these are all possibilities, some of which are supported. by solid indicators “.
However, despite this global decline, there is great variation in the number of casualties between countries or geographic foci in the Arab region.
High scan rate
Gulf countries, for example, have a much lower Corona death rate than countries in North Africa.
For example, Qatar has a death rate of 0.0006, or 6 deaths per ten thousand, while Egypt has 0.0573, or 573 deaths per ten thousand.
In his interview with the Al-Hurra site, Buzo attributed the low death rate in the Gulf countries to the high percentage of Corona scans these countries conduct for their residents, and added: “If we take the population into account (citizens and expatriates), the Gulf countries conduct very high Corona tests compared to any other country in the world, and this helps to significantly reduce the death rate. “
Health services
The other factor that affects death rates, according to Buzo, is advanced healthcare, explaining to the Al-Hurra website that “Egypt and the Gulf countries are plagued by chronic diseases (such as blood pressure and diabetes), but the difference is in the very advanced health care in the Gulf, compared to Egypt and North Africa. This may explain the low death rates in the Gulf countries.
Tens of thousands injured in Egypt
Buzo estimated that the Gulf death rate is closer to accuracy, and that it could be a standard percentage of Corona deaths in the Arab region, given the size of the population. “Qatar, for example, conducts analyzes estimated to be a hundred times what Egypt does, and if Egypt does the same, it can cut rates. The current death (0.0573) at the same rate recorded in Qatar, which is 0.0006, but that means the number of injured in Egypt will be in the tens of thousands. “
Among the other reasons that may suggest a significant increase in the number of infections in Egypt, we can mention that “Corona Egypt is most likely linked to the European or French model in particular, and it is more contagious than that recorded in the Gulf and in Asia, for example, “according to Buzo.
Experts already believe that the current number of Corona injuries in many countries around the world, even in the West, does not reflect the real numbers, while what about third world countries that do not have sufficient health capacity to verify cases of infection and death in their territory?
But the issue can only be settled by performing generalized antibody tests.
Another example of the high death rates in North Africa is Algeria, whose fatality rate on Saturday reached 0.0888, or 888 per ten thousand.
“There is definitely no pandemic”
When you compare these numbers in North Africa with the Levant region, you find them very high. For example, the Corona death rate recorded in Jordan on Saturday was 0.0172, or 172 deaths per ten thousand, and in the Palestinian Territories, 0.0053, or 53 deaths per ten thousand, while in Lebanon, 0, 0321, or 321 deaths per ten thousand. And this despite the proximity and overlap of these countries with Iran and Turkey, the two epicenters of the disease in the Middle East.
Buzu, who is from the Levant region, said these figures recorded in the countries of the Levant may not be accurate, but they clearly indicate that “there is certainly no major pandemic in the Levant region for reasons which may be related to the immunity and exposure of residents of the area to previous infection “.
It should be noted that the Arab country which recorded the number of injured on Saturday evening is Saudi Arabia with 37,136 cases, and the least important are Mauritania and the Comoros (one case each).
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