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From Kuwait came the declaration of reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Qatar, including the opening of borders and airspace between the two countries, and this is a prelude to the signing of an agreement during the Al-Ula summit in the Kingdom, which Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in a statement “will translate the aspirations of the leaders of the GCC countries in terms of reunification and solidarity. Faced with the challenges of our region. “
And immediately, Doha announced that the country’s Emir, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, would lead a Qatari delegation to Riyadh to participate in the summit, which will be attended by Jared Kushner, adviser to US President Donald Trump, to witness the end of the crisis. which has plagued Gulf relations for three years.
In an interview with Al-Hurra TV, Qatari political analyst Saleh Gharib said that the decision taken by Saudi Arabia “lays the foundation for what the Emir of Qatar is demanding, which is to sit down together at the dialogue table “.
A Saudi-Qatari agreement paves the way for an end to the Gulf crisis. Follow the full speech of the Kuwaiti Foreign Minister in which he reveals the details of “Al-Ula’s declaration”. pic.twitter.com/WhQI8OEw1C
– Alhurra Channel (@alhurranews) January 4, 2021
However, the question that comes to mind is: what about the rest of the boycott countries? Egypt, Emirates and Bahrain.
“The file is in the hands of Saudi Arabia”
Although Kuwaiti Foreign Minister Ahmed Nasser Al-Sabah said in his televised statement that Egypt and the rest of the Gulf states were keen to make the Al-Ula summit a “reconciliation summit,” he said. did not disclose whether Cairo, Abu Dhabi and Manama would actually end the boycott of Doha and sign the agreement.
Nabil Abdel Fattah, a researcher at the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, told the Al-Hurra website: “What I’m referring to so far is that Egypt is not not against reconciliation, but within the framework of what it has defined in terms of principles, in addition to the stance on Islamic groups and certain personalities who It is protected by residing in Qatar, and in some of the facilities that Doha provides to the Brotherhood, and to some of its leaders and cadres, which increases the sensitivity of Egyptian leaders.
Among the Egyptian claims of Qatar since the start of the crisis has been the surrender of the leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood to it, against which the Egyptian authorities have launched a campaign, after being removed from power in 2013 by the army after protests mass events which led to the dismissal of President Mohamed Morsi, who spent several years in prison. Before dying.
However, international law professor Ayman Salama believes what happened was “an unprecedented political embarrassment for Egypt”.
Salameh said any US administration “does not want Qatar to side with Iran at all, but if Qatar concedes its strategic options with Iran, it will not give up on Turkey at all,” that annoys Cairo.
Turkish-Egyptian relations are under great tension, with diplomatic relations severing after Ankara accused Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi of carrying out a coup against late President Mohamed Morsi while that Cairo accused Ankara of supporting the terrorists of the Muslim Brotherhood.
In Abu Dhabi, in the first UAE commentary on the Kuwaiti announcement, United Arab Emirates Foreign Minister Anwar Gargash said things were “in the right direction”.
He added in a tweet on Twitter: “We are in front of a historic summit par excellence in Al-Ula, through which we restore the cohesion of the Gulf and we want to ensure that the security, stability and prosperity of our countries and peoples are the first priority. We have more work and we are moving in the right direction. “
Bahraini writer and researcher Abdullah Al-Junaid confirmed in statements to Al-Hurra that the summit would be held in the presence of all member states of the Cooperation Council, noting that “countries boycotting Qatar have already announced that the file of this crisis is in the hands of Riyadh ”.
Saudi political analyst Mubarak Al-Ati told the “Al-Hurra” website that the Al-Ula summit, at which the leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries will meet on Tuesday, will be a summit “for bridging the gap between brothers and transcending what happened, but that doesn’t mean forgetting the mistakes, it’s quite necessary. ” Transparency. “
Al-Aati added that Saudi Arabia “when it initiates reconciliation, it speaks on behalf of the four countries that have authorized it to lead this crisis since its inception.”
‘Deep fault’
While former Kuwaiti Information Minister Saad bin Tafla, in an interview with Al Hurra TV, calls for optimism over the announcement of the signing of a reconciliation at the Gulf summit on Tuesday, he says the rift between the parties “is still very deep”, referring to what the three-year period saw. An unprecedented campaign of media degradation ”, adding that“ this cannot last overnight ”.
Terms of the reconciliation deal have not yet been announced, “but it is certain that Qatar will respond to this initiative with another initiative,” Al-Ati said, noting that “the reconciliation train has started, and this means that there are Qatari commitments that he will make to his brothers “.
Al-Junaid said, “The level of exposure will be higher at the top of Al-Ula, and it could affect the reported files.”
International law professor Ayman Salama expects Qatar to drop its international claims in international forums against the four countries on the basis of the reconciliation deal, “but Qatar will never give up on Al -Jazeera, ”he said.
After severing ties, the four countries released a list of 13 demands from Qatar, including shutting down the Al-Jazeera media network and downgrading Qatar’s relations with Turkey. But Doha did not respond to any of the requests.
Qatar has repeatedly affirmed its openness to unconditional talks, although it has not publicly indicated that it can make concessions on the 13 conditions for boycotting countries.
why now?
Salameh believes in statements to Al-Hurra that the US momentum has done a lot of Kuwaiti mediation, and that without the election of Joe Biden, the crisis would not have been resolved.
For his part, Abdel Fattah asserts that this agreement was reached “under the pressure and the roles of the American administration, and at the same time the political realization that great risks arise from the Iranian threats, as well as the concerns of the leaders. from some Gulf countries regarding the Biden administration, the perceptions it holds and some of the pillars of its new administration. On the relationship with Iran, as well as human rights issues and certain violations in the Gulf States. “
Abdel Fattah added that this decision is part of an attempt by the main parties to this conflict between Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Egypt, due to regional instability, especially in the Gulf region, and growing Iranian risks to these systems and security in the Gulf sub-region.
Abdel-Fattah notes that tensions in the Gulf have increased in light of the normalization processes led by the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, in addition to the history of normalization between Qatar and Israel, as well as meetings between Israeli and Saudi officials. , in addition to the visit of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
In June 2017, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Bahrain severed ties with Qatar, accusing it of supporting Islamic extremist groups, which Doha denies, and bringing it closer to it. Iran.
The four countries took steps to boycott Qatar, including closing its airspace to Qatari planes, preventing trade relations with the emirate and preventing Qataris from entering its lands, which caused the separation of the family members of mixed nationalities from each other.
Tuesday’s Gulf summit meeting comes as Washington has stepped up pressure on rival countries to resolve the crisis, stressing that Gulf unity is needed to isolate Iran as President Donald Trump’s tenure comes to an end. end.
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