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While the leader of the Tunisian movement “Ennahda”, President of the House of Representatives, Rached Ghannouchi, announced the formation of a national front to confront President Kais Saied, supporters expressed their fear that the security situation in Tunisia could slips, if it were decided to resort to responses “outlaw”, according to a Tunisian analyst.
Ghannouchi’s announcement came after Said’s decision to sack the government of Hisham al-Mashishi, freeze the work of parliament and lift his immunity.
While Al-Mashichi has said he has decided to comply with the will of the president and cede power to whoever he chooses, Ghannouchi decided to sit before Parliament and called on his supporters to do so. even to put pressure on the president.
Then he tried to slow down the “escalation” which seemed clear on the Tunisian scene, especially after supporters and sympathizers of Saïd with the Ennahda party clashed in the streets of Tunis, near the parliament, and called for a national dialogue to get out of the crisis.
And a statement released earlier by the movement, represented in parliament by 53 of the 217 members, said that Ennahda, “for the sake of democratic life, is ready for early and simultaneous legislative and presidential elections to ensure the protection of democracy. way and avoid any delay that would serve as a pretext to join the “tyrannical” regime.
It should be noted that immediately after President Said announced his decisions, the Ennahda party denounced them, calling them “a coup against the revolution”.
Tunisia .. Birth of the loin
Tunisia is about to give birth to the loin, and a difficult labor; The president who enjoys popular support was not, before his victory, a known and present political figure, and he now controls his hold on power, and the crucial question is whether he will return to respect for constitution and rules? of the democratic game?
The impact of Ghannouchi’s announcement establishing a “national front to confront President Kais Saied” differed between those who viewed the issue as purely political and those who saw the declaration as carrying some sort of “implicit threat.”
At the same time, the Reuters news agency quoted a judicial source according to which the Tunisian justice opened an investigation with 3 political parties, including Ennahda and Qalb Tounes, suspected of having received foreign funds during the 2019 election campaign.
This is a further “escalation” that could further widen the rift between the Ennahda party and the president, observers say.
But the biggest fear, according to Tunisian analysts, is that things will escalate into violence, which could further complicate the situation in Tunisia, which is going through a serious economic and financial crisis, exacerbated by the Corona epidemic.
Can the Tunisian scene lead to violence?
In the eyes of Tunisian analyst Khaled Obeid, “there is fear”, but this does not constitute a security threat for Tunisia, as he said.
Obeid said, in connection with the Al-Hurra website, that the Ennahda movement, which could be the biggest loser in the current situation, “cannot resort to violence” and that the modest rally of its supporters in front of the parliament in exchange for the huge numbers that came out to support the president’s decisions “prove that he will not be able to mobilize the Tunisians”.
In this context, he believes that the positive impact of Saïd’s decisions on “the majority of citizens” ensures Tunisia a stable future on the social and security level “at least”.
National Front.
For his part, political analyst Badr al-Salam ruled out that any of the political forces in Tunisia would resort to violence, and declared that to speak of “national front” means the front of political forces which politically cross Ennahda, “At least in the estimation of what the president approved”, that is, the parties which called Saeed’s decision a “coup”.
In an interview with Al-Hurra, he suggested the response would be peaceful, “because violence does not help anyone,” as he put it.
He added that the option of violence always serves the other side, doubting that Ennahda or any other party would resort to a move that would lead to violence.
He says that she (Ennahda) will resort to the peaceful political option, which he says is based on three elements.
The first is the call for a national dialogue, which the movement effectively launched on July 26, and the second is an attempt to meet with parties that rejected what Said did, on the grounds that they overlap politically in describing what happened as a “coup”, but he doubted these parties would support them all. What the movement decides to respond to, and therefore, “the National Front demanded by Ennahda will not be as strong, as he said.
Tunisia .. Will Saïd’s decisions succeed in transforming him into a presidential regime?
As for the third option, according to the analyst, it is represented by investing its allies in the capitals of the world to put pressure on the presidency, in particular the world organization of the Muslim Brotherhood movement.
ambiguous future
More than 48 hours after Saied’s accession to executive power, Tunisians are waiting for the roadmap for the next step, while civil society warns against any “illegal” extension of the parliamentary freeze period.
The Tunisian President justifies the measures he has taken, first and foremost the freezing of Parliament and the dismissal of Prime Minister Hicham Al-Mashishi from his post as the “imminent danger” facing the country in view of a crisis profound policy that paralyzed him. government and public institutions.
Saeed’s actions came amid an economic and social crisis exacerbated by the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic.
“There is hope” .. Tunisians dream of a quick solution
After freezing the work of parliament for a month on Sunday evening and relieving Al-Mashichi of his duties and personally assuming executive power, the two relieved Defense Minister Ibrahim Al-Bertajy, the acting justice minister, the Minister of Civil Service and Government Spokeswoman Hasna Ben Suleiman, of their functions.
Article 80 authorizes the president to take exceptional measures “in the event of imminent danger”, without specifying their nature.
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