Borhan Ghalion – Warsaw Conference or Walk to the Edge of the Abyss



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The abortions of the revolutions of the Arab Spring ended a complete cycle of Arab policies which, after independence, laid the foundation for political systems which, by preserving their survival, would implement an international program or provide services to the major ones. countries for which they wish to obtain their support. The living conditions of their people or the thought of their destiny and the future of their children. This subordination has generated local elites that have made it more difficult to control and mobilize the movement of these peoples instead of releasing their energies and unleashing their capabilities. Their existence as a dominant and ruling elite is increasingly opposed to the conditions of their lives. This session could only have ended with the result of a global confrontation, as embodied by the revolutions of the Arab Spring, after the political elites turned into a class of neo-colonizers and a "national" policy of occupation and repression. Of any political or humanitarian identity.

The revolutions that have occupied nearly 10 years of this second decade of the 21st century have deprived the ruling elites of their confidence in their power and their ability to paralyze the popular will, reinforcing their tendency to impose more restrictions on their societies and close their plans more than they did. The abandonment of the underdeveloped shadow of independence that sought to hide behind its full dependence on the guarantors of its survival and to throw itself once again on the great powers and buy their protection. Contrary to optimists' expectations of elites

Take the lesson, reconsider their approach to governance and redouble their efforts to gain the support of the population or restore some, under the shock of the main protests, to the fear it tries to respond by adopting two options, one worse than the other: a more severe closure of the scheme, And reduce the margin of freedoms and political life to a point of total abolition and, more than ever, to the Membership of foreign countries, regional or international, to seek their protection. It is to go in the opposite direction of what should have been directed to reform the situation and reduce the distance that separates them from their people, and start to dismantle the social and political crisis that triggered the revolutions, so to avoid new clashes.
What prompted me to point out these suicidal political tendencies to the eloquent elites is the enthusiasm I showed for participating in the so-called Warsaw Conference on Security and Peace in the Middle East. is held in mid-February, in the presence of the US Vice President and Minister of Foreign Affairs under their supervision, Its objectives are to confront Tehran and its expansionist and subversive policies in the Arab Mashreq, but as a precondition for the normalization of Israeli-Arab relations and at the entrance of Israel, with the approval of the Arabs, in the regional power equation.
Arabs follow their participation and follow Washington's plans and strategies that have not helped to encourage countries in the region to understand and the region as a whole to stabilize. On the contrary, all that I have done in the last four decades, as well as the largest European countries, has done to the detriment of peace and security in the Middle East, in order to Prevent and mine it. It is naïve to believe that Washington or Israel will put an end to the Iranian threat to the Arab states for the eyes of those countries and to ensure regional and international stability. On the contrary, they seek to further strengthen Arab-Iranian relations and widen the gap between conflicting neighbors and the achievement of their own goals at the expense of Arab countries. In other words, these countries are accused of confronting Iran and limiting its influence, without making any political or strategic concession to the Arab States. In the end, the Arabs will only benefit from the inclusion of Israel in their Arab system and the introduction of a hostile player into them, without any price. This will deepen the contradictions and differences between the Arab countries and their peoples, as well as between them, and deepen the problem at the root of the decline of the Arab regional position and the growing ambitions of the Arab world. Iran.
The United States used the ascendancy of Iraq, Iraq under Saddam Hussein, to reduce their ambitions

Tehran Khomeini, who started out being anti-Western and Israeli, has won over Iraq and contributed to the character of the Iranian people's revolution from its goals and pushed it toward sectarian and sectarian extremism. He is again seeking to use the rest of the Arab financial and political resources to adapt Iran and push him to submit to the objectives of American and Israeli politics. During this period, the Arab position will not advance a single hair at any level. If Tehran accepts negotiations on its subversive project, it will not negotiate with the Arabs, but with Washington and Israel, which are the source of the real power that threatens it, at the expense of the Arabs. If Tehran decides to continue the confrontation, this would result in an enlargement of the cycle of the war on Arab soil and an increase in the costs that only the Arab, human, political, material and strategic countries would ensure to their security and their stability. than the chances of developing their economies together.
The problem of the Arabs will not solve their problems by supporting other countries and offering them concessions that will increase their weakness, fragmentation and division. In the end, they lost all hope of maintaining their credibility, the independence of their states and perhaps their survival. If Washington really wanted to help the Arabs, but would only pay a bit of the cost of the confrontation, it would force Tel Aviv to adjust its stance on the Palestinian issue and, if not, to recognize the Palestinian state promised to sides of Israel on the premise of a two-state solution, and what it means to change the demographic character of the country. If he had in fact sought to preserve the Middle East from the holocaust that he had unleashed in two wars, it would have led to freeze hostility between the Arabs and the Iranians, and to unleash a historic war between them, notably by striking Iraqi power and establishing a sectarian regime in Baghdad. And the Iranians to defuse the three-decade-long war, direct their efforts towards the development of their peoples, offer the parties guarantees not to develop and attack, and open a space of cooperation between them.
But stopping the war in the region and easing tensions between its countries is never a goal of American or Israeli politics. On the contrary, we must ask him to reap the benefits from both sides and to play with them to subjugate them and force them to kneel before the American and Israeli will.
The Gulf countries and the Arab League countries in general have a great responsibility in adopting Washington's policy against Iran and in pursuing projects that target it rather than the US. Iran, in my opinion, for both strategic and Israeli interests. Instead of crystallizing an independent Arab policy, albeit relative, allowing a rebalancing with Iran and opening the door to a settlement with its population. Without crystallizing this policy, formulate a common Arab agenda for the region and relations with neighboring countries, and put in place a strategic force to ensure their implementation and defense, Arab involvement in others foreign powers, be it the United States, Europe or China, will only further weaken their position, And allow the forces to defend themselves against the fruits of the confrontation of Iran and the others or the resolution of regional contradictions with them. No country works for another country, but all countries exploit the weakness of other countries, even if they are their ally, if possible by increasing their weakness and the need to maximize their gains, whether by adopting more Arabs or by weakening Iran and imposing harsh concessions on them. United Nations.
In summary, Iran is a major dilemma for the Arabs of the Levant, especially those who are attacked

In the context of its own struggle against the West and dragging it into a battle against which the West refuses to fight and wants to support the Arabs again, in the name of helping them to ward off their danger, their responsibility and their costs.
The confrontation with Iranian designs is a great challenge for the Arabs, and they can not answer their will to other countries that have a public interest in weakening their immunity and subjecting them to their national agenda. What is being answered is the development of Arab self-defense and its transformation into a real party of the regional strategic equation, which will be calculated and recognized as part of the regional decision and the minimum of sovereignty, respect and equal treatment. This is what the Arab governments, especially the Gulf states, are doing everything in their power not to think about it and work on it. Such an option can not be separated from an option that, in the eyes of many members of its ruling elites, is a poison jar. It deals exclusively with resolving the problem of relations with its people, with confronting the political problem and accepting gradual concessions, but seriously with the model of distribution of power and sovereignty, on which a better distribution of possibilities depends. progress, progress and wealth. Here is the point and heel of Achilles, which the elites, accustomed to the monopoly of sovereignty, have not yet addressed.

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