To the Algerian brothers: Do not repeat the experiences of your neighbors – Emad Eddin Hussein

I hope that all Algerians, especially those who took part in the protests against the candidacy of President Abdelaziz Bouteflika for the period or the "fifth term", will think a thousand times before embarking on a flaw without a decision.
The protesters won a major victory by forcing Bouteflika to withdraw his candidacy for the April 18 presidential election, but some leaders of the movement see what has been achieved in part and all their demands must be met. If I can advise the demonstrators and their leaders and the entire Algerian people, from a purely Arab and fraternal point of view, they should wait a long time before going to a point where there is no has no return. The main advice is to study the experiences of the Arab Spring, which lasted many Arab countries in late 2010 and early 2011, some of which are neighboring countries of Algeria, such as Tunisia , Libya, Egypt, Syria and Yemen.
The essential lesson is that there is a fundamental difference between the perfect ideal requirements and the bitter reality of the Earth.
No one disputes the value of the victory won by the protesters last night. There is no wise Arab who did not rejoice at Bouteflika's withdrawal from the presidential race. The 82-year-old man suffered a stroke in 2013. He said in a statement that he was "sick and unable to continue". . And here we ask and why nominate, or is it around him who insisted that his candidacy serve them as cover without consulting him ?!
It is assumed that all Arab peoples and their political forces have understood the danger of rushing to reach extremes that conflict with the facts on the ground.
It is good that the protesters demand complete democracy, a rotation of power and complete liberties, but on condition that the painting is provided to them. More importantly, there are organized political forces that can lead Algeria to security.
The demonstrators who took to the streets are neither one nor even three organized forces. Most of them are young. "Half of people under 30" do not like to impose a very sick man and many Arab citizens participate, and even in the world.
But the main observation is that the traditional political forces were absent or weak, or joined the demonstrations, when they realized that the chances of Bouteflika's withdrawal were great. This is the same scenario repeated in Egypt on January 25, 2011. There were young people who aspired to a modern democratic and civilian state, but there were no organized and influential political forces, no one in the world. This is why religious forces in various forms have managed to steal this great revolution and to make it a model that completely contradicts what most Egyptians dreamed about.
The fundamental point that leaders of protesters and other statesmen are supposed to study is not to harden them or to radicalize them, which could lead to clashes that repeat the scenes and tragedies of the "black decade" "which hit Algeria after the abolition of the electoral route at the end of 1991, to violence and terrorism, which have claimed the lives of hundreds of thousands of people, injured and internally displaced persons , not to mention disastrous social and economic consequences.
Algerian political forces, a bit weak. There is a party of power, the Liberation Front, which resembles all the ruling parties in the Arab world, with little difference. And other parties have been beaten and have been besieged and marginalized. The result is a hazy political scene stirred by the media or organizations that are waiting for the opportunity to attack Algeria to avenge the "black decade". There is also an economic crisis, although oil and gas are not fully exploited and unemployment stands at 29%.
Recent and distant history has taught us that such periods have no winners or losers. But it takes a gradual transition to avoid chaos, confusion, violence and terrorism.
The Authority must understand that a historic period is over and that it is time to make a fresh start, based on a new legitimacy. Opposition in the street must understand that there are traditional forces and strong institutions that can not be considered "going to hell".
Algeria needs as much rationality and common sense today as it would have been, if it were, a good example of the peaceful transition of the Hadi, after its experience of the 90s was a sad model and sad that has been reproduced in many Arab countries. Once again our hearts with Algeria until it comes out of this difficult period.