Gulf property has tried to repress Islamists and support their confrontation in the Arab world

Commentator Ishan Tharoor has published in the Washington Post an article entitled "Is there an Arab Spring En route?" In which he asserts that mass demonstrations took place in the last two weeks in two countries led by long-oppressive regimes.

In his article, Tharoor notes that Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, after three months of protests, proclaimed a year of emergency and decided to dissolve the government and federal governments in order to strengthen his authority in matters of governance.

The writer said that "this does not prevent the continuation of the demonstrations and remains weak, while some see the end of his reign which lasted three decades, and as written by Mohammed Osman and Max Perak", many in the Sudanese street believe that the decision of Bashir's week "The past is a classic mistake, usually involving dictators who stand on the verge of the end of their reign, and raising the hope that his days in power are accounts."

"At the same time, protests have mushroomed throughout Algeria over the past two weeks, as protesters demand President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to quit his plans to run for office. a fifth term in the elections scheduled for next month Bouteflika, 82, last week, Bouteflika has been at the helm of the country since 1999 and suffered in 2013 from a stroke that left him in wheelchair.It has not spoken to the public for seven years. "

"Bouteflika's health is a metaphor for the elderly's rule in which Algeria has been living since independence in 1962. The FNL has not given up its power." Bouteflika presides over what critics see as a system. derisory headed by senior officials of the military and intelligence and a group of wealthy businessmen. "He said.

"When the Arab world has swept away the revolutions that overthrew Egypt's regimes in Libya, Tunisia and Yemen, the Bouteflika government has been maintained thanks to help to ease economic tensions," he said. wrote Bobby Gosh to Bloomberg. "The memories fade, government aid loses value over time, and eight years after the Arab Spring, Algerians are apparently prepared for the revolution," he said.

"But the conditions in North Africa and the Middle East, which led to the Arab Spring, are still the same, and worse," he said. .

"The political, economic and social challenges facing all the regimes in the Middle East are worse than in 2011," said Tharoor. "The structural factors behind the unrest" The events in Algeria and Sudan are part of a wide range of protest movements that have affected one-third of the region in the past two years, "he said. he said, including anti-corruption demonstrations and governments in Iraq, Jordan, Tunisia and Iran.

The two Algerian and Sudanese systems have a cruel legacy of brutality and repression: according to Human Rights Watch, more than 50 people have been killed since protests began in Sudan two months ago and thousands have been arrested, including of eminent doctors and journalists. In detention centers run by Sudanese intelligence services.

The author has noted that since 2011, real estate in the Gulf, particularly in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, have attempted to repress Islamists and support their confrontation in various parts of the Arab world, under the pretext that repression was necessary for stability. Despite his odious record of countering his opponents.

"As demographic and economic challenges increase and political institutions lack legitimacy, those regimes with the highest levels of repression no longer have many options," said Tharur. "Even if the tension is not reduced as in 2011, it is possible to escalate events such as the death of a former leader, controversial constitutional amendments, the removal of support for materials from base or the end of the civil war "

"Bouteflika's allies can hope to gain the time they want and prepare for his final departure, but they have lost the legitimacy questioning of the angry and helpless youth who knows that Bouteflika can not continue to govern ", did he declare.

"The president is unable to lead the state and does not mention the names of those responsible," Algerian journalist Mustafa Bouachashi, a human rights lawyer, told the New York Times. "This person no longer knows how to read or write and is the hostage of a mafia gang."

Boutros-Ghali said Bouteflika had announced his candidacy for the fifth time but had promised in a letter read by his campaign manager that he would use this period to conduct a national dialogue before retiring.

"Bouteflika's message is the first response that protesters' claims are legitimate, a clear recognition that the reasons for their protests are true," the expert on North Africa told the Council in a tweet. European External Relations Committee, Andrew Lebovitch. Opportunity for action if the demonstrations continue unabated.

Sudanese political analyst Majdi al-Jazuli was quoted as saying that al-Bashir's decision to transfer power, even temporarily, to the army could be fatal. The "officers who were delivered by the authorities to prevent them from a coup d 'état, even in the absence of coup, the protesters promised to remain in the street".

"We will continue to fight until we get rid of this regime and rebuild the country and its institutions with a new democracy," said Tharour, referring to a spokesman for an organization leading events, Salah Shuaib.